{"source":"polymarket","id":"769509","ticker":"will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august","slug":"will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august","title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:24:55.537448Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1660.642971,"volume_24hr":1660.642971,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.081796646118164,"normalized_volume":11.169594764709473,"liquidity":8846.0893,"open_interest":700.882971,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104811","slug":"aaa","label":"AAA"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100679","slug":"gas","label":"gas"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"702","slug":"inflation","label":"Inflation"},{"id":"101031","slug":"commodities","label":"Commodities"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ $4.25","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.03500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":192.732728,"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:27:37.682546Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T01:27:37.682546Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.410461Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,218.0,327.98,327.98,327.98,424.09437,424.09437,424.09437,559.09437,559.09437,694.09437,694.09437,694.09437,694.09437,1445.382971,1660.642971,1660.642971,1660.642971,1660.642971],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208498","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt25-high-by-august-31-20260728213741796","question":"Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $4.25","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:25:09.715090Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":192.732728,"volume_24hr":192.732728,"prob_24h_change":-0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":192.732728,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.499068260192871,"normalized_volume":7.702188491821289,"liquidity":760.8286,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:06:19.737144Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T01:05:11.151164Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-4pt25-high-by-august-31-20260728213741796","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.725,0.54,0.535,0.775,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208499","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-3pt90-low-by-august-31-20260728213741797","question":"Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $3.90","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:24:58.889946Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":101.58416,"volume_24hr":101.58416,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":101.58416,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.663334846496582,"normalized_volume":5.954750061035156,"liquidity":325.8217,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:06:19.737144Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T21:29:10.335923Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-3pt90-low-by-august-31-20260728213741797","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208500","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-3pt70-low-by-august-31-20260728213741798","question":"Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $3.70","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.465,0.535],"probability":0.465,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:25:13.576032Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":940.52,"volume_24hr":940.52,"prob_24h_change":0.09500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":940.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.130043029785156,"normalized_volume":13.02077579498291,"liquidity":423.3309,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:06:19.737144Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:56:22.463187Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-3pt70-low-by-august-31-20260728213741798","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.245,0.34,0.355,0.355,0.605,0.47,0.47,0.465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208497","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt50-high-by-august-31-20260728213741795","question":"Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $4.50","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:24:58.548137Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":124.47275099999999,"volume_24hr":124.472751,"prob_24h_change":-0.14499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":124.472751,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.522201538085938,"normalized_volume":6.484001636505127,"liquidity":2011.9948,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:06:19.737144Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T20:49:04.502545Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-4pt50-high-by-august-31-20260728213741795","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.405,0.405,0.45,0.45,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208495","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-5pt00-high-by-august-31-20260728213741793","question":"Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $5.00","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:25:06.745216Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":83.333332,"volume_24hr":83.333332,"prob_24h_change":-0.24500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":83.333332,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.862994194030762,"normalized_volume":5.4615631103515625,"liquidity":325.232,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:28:36.901570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T01:27:37.879107Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-5pt00-high-by-august-31-20260728213741793","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.095,0.09,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208504","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-2pt50-low-by-august-31-20260728213741802","question":"Will gas hit $2.50 (Low) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $2.50","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:25:15.644843Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":218.0,"volume_24hr":218.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16,"volume_24h_change":218.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.087743759155273,"normalized_volume":8.064942359924316,"liquidity":567.5162,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:28:36.901570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T01:27:37.879107Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-2pt50-low-by-august-31-20260728213741802","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.185,0.195,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208496","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt75-high-by-august-31-20260728213741794","question":"Will gas hit $4.75 (High) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $4.75","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:24:55.830945Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.145,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":3134.6827,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T00:20:50.205831Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T18:46:07.151998Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-4pt75-high-by-august-31-20260728213741794","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.185,0.18,0.175,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208501","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-3pt50-low-by-august-31-20260728213741799","question":"Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $3.50","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:25:12.787538Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":271.3547,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:06:19.737144Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T16:54:55.273453Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-3pt50-low-by-august-31-20260728213741799","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208502","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-3pt25-low-by-august-31-20260728213741800","question":"Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $3.25","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:25:10.757722Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":129.17,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:06:19.737144Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T19:06:45.301746Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-3pt25-low-by-august-31-20260728213741800","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.255,0.26,0.265,0.26,0.265,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.225,0.22,0.09,0.085,0.085,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3208503","event_id":"769509","slug":"will-gas-hit-3pt00-low-by-august-31-20260728213741801","question":"Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $3.00","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:24:55.537448Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.295,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":509.166,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:06:19.737144Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T20:28:43.183285Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:08.429383Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-august/will-gas-hit-3pt00-low-by-august-31-20260728213741801","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of August?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.335,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.245,0.24,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.085]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/769509","as_of":"2026-07-31T01:47:06.113720Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will gas hit __ by end of August?\" — top market at 46% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}