{"source":"polymarket","id":"769949","ticker":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01","title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Stephanie Luciano\" if Stephanie Luciano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Marina Spasic\" if Marina Spasic is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:38Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3614.012822,"volume_24hr":3547.834513,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.574960708618164,"normalized_volume":15.298837661743164,"liquidity":48542.7169,"open_interest":3614.0128219999997,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","top_outcome_probability":0.87,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.135,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:30.512994Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:30.512994Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.782831Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01","chart_24h":[78.178309,78.178309,78.178309,78.178309,78.178309,78.178309,78.178309,78.178309,78.178309,70.451039,66.503673,66.503673,316.503673,316.503673,435.583673,435.583673,435.583673,406.672104,404.08,3419.202938,3419.202938,3527.834513,3547.834513,3547.834513],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211606","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01","question":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","group_item_title":"Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic","description":"This market will resolve to \"Stephanie Luciano\" if Stephanie Luciano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Marina Spasic\" if Marina Spasic is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Stephanie Luciano","Marina Spasic"],"outcome_prices":[0.755,0.245],"probability":0.755,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:38Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3207.2055520000004,"volume_24hr":3163.754513,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":3108.303474,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.743915557861328,"normalized_volume":19.12354278564453,"liquidity":44706.9509,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:23:57.306346Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T18:57:52.631347Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.755]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211607","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Stephanie Luciano and Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.655,0.345],"probability":0.655,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:42Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":401.80726999999996,"volume_24hr":379.08,"prob_24h_change":0.07500000000000007,"volume_24h_change":356.35273,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.15753173828125,"normalized_volume":10.556682586669922,"liquidity":2839.8259,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T15:25:37.353641Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T11:45:21.171187Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.58,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.625,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.655]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211610","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Stephanie Luciano and Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:43Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4699606895446777,"normalized_volume":0.9419060945510864,"liquidity":2062.5691,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:30.817829Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:30.817829Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.49,0.495,0.42,0.27,0.265,0.255,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.155,0.135,0.125,0.135,0.155,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211616","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Stephanie Luciano and Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:38Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.135,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1587.6338,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:22.967055Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T08:07:44.213258Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.735,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.805,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211617","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Stephanie Luciano and Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:38Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.17999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1642.5956,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:22.967055Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T15:24:32.978505Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.795,0.77,0.795,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.835,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211618","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Stephanie Luciano and Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.295],"probability":0.705,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:43Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":107.963,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T22:24:34.749210Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211614","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Stephanie Luciano and Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:43Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.275,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2295.5273,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:22.967055Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:30.817829Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.49,0.495,0.505,0.4,0.29,0.245,0.22,0.215,0.215,0.205,0.215,0.21,0.215,0.21,0.2,0.205,0.205,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211611","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-luciano-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Stephanie Luciano win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Luciano to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Stephanie Luciano defeats Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:38Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2095.5705,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:22.967055Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:30.817829Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-luciano-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.425,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.115,0.11,0.105,0.11,0.11,0.105,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3211612","event_id":"769949","slug":"ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-spasic-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Marina Spasic win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Spasic to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Marina Spasic defeats Stephanie Luciano at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T22:00:43Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":3514.5783,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:22.967055Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:30.817829Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T22:03:28.887553Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01/ufc-ste33-mspasi-2026-08-01-spasic-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.49,0.415,0.215,0.2,0.195,0.19,0.185,0.115,0.09,0.085,0.095,0.09,0.08,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/769949","as_of":"2026-07-31T20:45:32.843588Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)\" — top market at 76% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}