{"source":"polymarket","id":"770165","ticker":"beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455","slug":"beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455","title":"Beaches—East York By-Election Winner","description":"A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455-169GAD6fZaBa.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455-169GAD6fZaBa.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:04:44.346455Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2075.717311,"volume_24hr":1120.73575,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.544204711914062,"normalized_volume":13.297127723693848,"liquidity":40258.94545,"open_interest":1734.893909,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"245","slug":"canada","label":"Canada"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"103788","slug":"by-election","label":"by election"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tanveer Shahnawaz","top_outcome_probability":0.957,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.008499999999999952,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1113.632597,"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:30:48.566910Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:30:48.566910Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T00:44:02.703943Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455","chart_24h":[38.79,6.09,0.0,0.0,776.499324,776.499324,776.499324,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1119.70575,1120.73575,1120.73575,1120.73575,1120.73575,1120.73575],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3212454","event_id":"770165","slug":"will-tanveer-shahnawaz-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052456","question":"Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?","group_item_title":"Tanveer Shahnawaz","description":"A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beaches-tanveer-shahnawaz-8cb48234e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beaches-tanveer-shahnawaz-8cb48234e6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.957,0.043],"probability":0.957,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:04:44.346455Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1723.6573109999997,"volume_24hr":1120.73575,"prob_24h_change":-0.008499999999999952,"volume_24h_change":1113.632597,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.391159057617188,"normalized_volume":16.296157836914062,"liquidity":16285.33384,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:30:49.863105Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:30:49.863105Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T00:44:03.018859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455/will-tanveer-shahnawaz-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052456","event_title":"Beaches—East York By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.962,0.9605,0.9655,0.962,0.9625,0.958,0.9575,0.956,0.9515,0.9545,0.954,0.9555,0.956,0.9535,0.951,0.954,0.954,0.954,0.954,0.952,0.952,0.957,0.956,0.9565]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3212483","event_id":"770165","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052485","question":"Will someone else win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T00:10:21.835362Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T10:35:22.887364Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:44:03.018859Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T00:44:03.018859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455/will-someone-else-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052485","event_title":"Beaches—East York By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3212455","event_id":"770165","slug":"will-jocelyne-poirier-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052457","question":"Will Jocelyne Poirier win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?","group_item_title":"Jocelyne Poirier","description":"A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beaches-jocelyne-poirier-e4feafba26.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beaches-jocelyne-poirier-e4feafba26.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.018,0.982],"probability":0.018,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:04:47.598066Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":146.66,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.005000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.319879531860352,"liquidity":13082.16248,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T19:25:47.959684Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T15:14:15.234361Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T00:44:03.018859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455/will-jocelyne-poirier-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052457","event_title":"Beaches—East York By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.023,0.023,0.023,0.033,0.021,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3212456","event_id":"770165","slug":"will-mike-layton-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052458","question":"Will Mike Layton win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?","group_item_title":"Mike Layton","description":"A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beaches-mike-layton-71b0cdfd8b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/beaches-mike-layton-71b0cdfd8b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.009,0.991],"probability":0.009,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:04:48.585258Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":205.4,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.006,"volume_24h_change":-20.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.334366798400879,"liquidity":11882.41925,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:30:49.863105Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:30:49.863105Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T00:44:03.018859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/beacheseast-york-by-election-winner-20260729190052455/will-mike-layton-win-the-2026-beacheseast-york-by-election-20260729190052458","event_title":"Beaches—East York By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.0195,0.0075,0.008,0.0075,0.0075,0.008,0.019,0.0075,0.008,0.0235,0.013,0.009,0.0085,0.023,0.0125,0.0085,0.015,0.021,0.009,0.009,0.0085,0.009,0.021,0.021,0.0195,0.0085,0.009,0.019]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/770165","as_of":"2026-08-04T20:34:56.947179Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Beaches—East York By-Election Winner\" — top market at 96% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}