{"source":"polymarket","id":"770192","ticker":"us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795","slug":"us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795","title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bea.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bea.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:18:34.912565Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1082.514678,"volume_24hr":1082.514678,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.832509994506836,"normalized_volume":9.918608665466309,"liquidity":1628.733,"open_interest":548.646191,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"86","slug":"us","label":"us"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"70-80B","top_outcome_probability":0.545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":225.771332,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.739718Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.739718Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.498982Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,223.364526,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,381.57041,408.967669,413.967669,413.967669,413.967669,413.967669,413.967669,413.967669,431.110525,431.110525,431.110525,571.110525,852.2046780000001,852.2046780000001,857.314678,892.314678,892.314678],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3213952","event_id":"770192","slug":"will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-70-billion-and-80-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241799","question":"Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?","group_item_title":"70-80B","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:36:35.571138Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":225.771332,"volume_24hr":225.771332,"prob_24h_change":0.050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":225.771332,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.257661819458008,"normalized_volume":8.169650077819824,"liquidity":178.8983,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.797172Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.563072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795/will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-70-billion-and-80-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241799","event_title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.495,0.62,0.38,0.385,0.385,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.385,0.38,0.385,0.41,0.405,0.41,0.305,0.365,0.37,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3213954","event_id":"770192","slug":"will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-90-billion-and-100-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241801","question":"Will the US Trade Deficit be between $90 billion and $100 billion in June 2026?","group_item_title":"90-100B","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:27:01.406938Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.192306,"volume_24hr":43.192306,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":43.192306,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.468194007873535,"normalized_volume":3.985836982727051,"liquidity":219.0826,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.797172Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.563072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795/will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-90-billion-and-100-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241801","event_title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.47,0.465,0.41,0.445,0.43,0.425,0.395,0.4,0.4,0.385,0.375,0.415,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.415,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.365,0.375,0.395,0.4,0.335,0.33,0.33,0.33]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3213951","event_id":"770192","slug":"will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-60-billion-and-70-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241798","question":"Will the US Trade Deficit be between $60 billion and $70 billion in June 2026?","group_item_title":"60-70B","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:41:30.335836Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":153.392535,"volume_24hr":153.392535,"prob_24h_change":-0.28,"volume_24h_change":153.392535,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.44488525390625,"normalized_volume":7.052578449249268,"liquidity":225.8322,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.797172Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.563072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795/will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-60-billion-and-70-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241798","event_title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.115,0.13,0.13,0.115,0.115,0.13,0.145,0.33,0.29,0.2]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3213955","event_id":"770192","slug":"will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-at-least-100-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241802","question":"Will the US Trade Deficit be at least $100 billion in June 2026?","group_item_title":"100B+","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.197,0.803],"probability":0.197,"spread":0.392,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:25:54.023439Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":179.094153,"volume_24hr":179.094153,"prob_24h_change":-0.303,"volume_24h_change":179.094153,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.1549654006958,"normalized_volume":7.490144729614258,"liquidity":200.197,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.797172Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.563072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795/will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-at-least-100-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241802","event_title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.015,0.015,0.4735,0.3725,0.3735,0.3645,0.405,0.4035,0.4205,0.413,0.411,0.394,0.443,0.3985,0.386,0.337,0.3035,0.4645,0.3765,0.1665,0.2105,0.297,0.1775]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3213950","event_id":"770192","slug":"will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-50-billion-and-60-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241797","question":"Will the US Trade Deficit be between $50 billion and $60 billion in June 2026?","group_item_title":"50-60B","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:39:26.732565Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":105.102535,"volume_24hr":105.102535,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":105.102535,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.80459213256836,"normalized_volume":6.041795253753662,"liquidity":235.9182,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.797172Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.563072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795/will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-50-billion-and-60-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241797","event_title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.495,0.06,0.115,0.13,0.13,0.115,0.115,0.13,0.145,0.115,0.115,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3213953","event_id":"770192","slug":"will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-80-billion-and-90-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241800","question":"Will the US Trade Deficit be between $80 billion and $90 billion in June 2026?","group_item_title":"80-90B","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:18:34.912565Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67.961817,"volume_24hr":67.961817,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":67.961817,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.076939582824707,"normalized_volume":4.977180004119873,"liquidity":266.6194,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.797172Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.563072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795/will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-between-80-billion-and-90-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241800","event_title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.495,0.045,0.465,0.47,0.455,0.465,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.115,0.105,0.1,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3213949","event_id":"770192","slug":"will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-less-than-50-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241796","question":"Will the US Trade Deficit be less than $50 billion in June 2026?","group_item_title":"<50B","description":"This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.028,0.972],"probability":0.028,"spread":0.054,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T23:30:02.539768Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":308.0,"volume_24hr":308.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.46699999999999997,"volume_24h_change":308.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.813321113586426,"normalized_volume":9.128279685974121,"liquidity":272.6553,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T22:14:22.260940Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T22:13:09.797172Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:11.563072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-trade-deficit-june-2026-20260729205241795/will-the-us-trade-deficit-be-less-than-50-billion-in-june-2026-20260729205241796","event_title":"US Trade Deficit - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.495,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.07,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.021,0.021,0.0335,0.031,0.031]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/770192","as_of":"2026-07-30T22:32:43.162532Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US Trade Deficit - June 2026\" — top market at 3% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}