{"source":"polymarket","id":"773076","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-1-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-1-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T16:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59608.819692,"volume_24hr":59650.26896599999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.89955520629883,"normalized_volume":27.556514739990234,"liquidity":33967.6183,"open_interest":30853.804663,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.725,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.22499999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":59519.09251299999,"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:54.317829Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:54.317829Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T16:33:43.169402Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-1-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,131.176453,155.98037,155.98037,188.431341,214.21565,244.999959,244.999959,244.999959,262.294072,262.294072,338.11510200000004,352.36676700000004,568.012596,656.666115,832.6226509999999,16825.605388,16825.605388,33468.952832999996,46160.42543699999,46160.42543699999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3224172","event_id":"773076","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-1-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.725,0.275],"probability":0.725,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T16:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59608.819692,"volume_24hr":59650.26896599999,"prob_24h_change":0.22499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":59519.09251299999,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.365234375,"normalized_volume":35.47187423706055,"liquidity":34723.0192,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:22.967055Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T20:20:54.623969Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T16:33:43.247655Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-1-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-1-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.58,0.575,0.695,0.755,0.765,0.695]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/773076","as_of":"2026-07-31T20:45:54.147410Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?\" — top market at 72% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}