{"source":"polymarket","id":"774077","ticker":"leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","slug":"leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","title":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T08:02:19.422724Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2420.365758,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.81376838684082,"liquidity":555.2496,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T14:31:42.420343Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T14:31:42.420343Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T08:08:15.190656Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-by-december-31-2027","event_title":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3869608","event_id":"774077","slug":"leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-by-june-30-2027","question":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.111,0.889],"probability":0.111,"spread":0.176,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T08:02:01.401489Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1597.6398159999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.028499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.966031074523926,"liquidity":555.75965,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:19:49.796533Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:19:49.796533Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T08:08:15.190656Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.0785,0.0785,0.0845,0.078,0.082,0.078,0.083,0.086,0.0815,0.1085,0.1025,0.106,0.103,0.105,0.106,0.1075,0.106,0.106,0.116,0.1055,0.107,0.1055,0.1095,0.111,0.1045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3231238","event_id":"774077","slug":"leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","question":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T20:01:46.431000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6932.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.948734283447266,"liquidity":2363.2815,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T22:51:38.740801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T22:51:38.740801Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T20:06:19.067746Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","event_title":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/774077","as_of":"2026-10-06T06:21:40.983470Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?\" — top market at 32% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}