{"source":"polymarket","id":"774077","ticker":"leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","slug":"leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","title":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T20:01:46.431869Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1681.0,"volume_24hr":1681.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.34105110168457,"normalized_volume":12.574810981750488,"liquidity":8720.1147,"open_interest":1593.0,"categories":["Other"],"tags":[{"id":"105849","slug":"leopold-aschenbrenner","label":"Leopold Aschenbrenner"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1681.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:53:46.496440Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:53:46.496440Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T20:06:19.037898Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,114.0,114.0,114.0,114.0,114.0,1681.0,1681.0,1681.0,1681.0,1681.0,1681.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3231238","event_id":"774077","slug":"leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","question":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140-AcqoPwllWtK4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T20:01:46.431869Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1681.0,"volume_24hr":1681.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":1681.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.2542781829834,"normalized_volume":16.186817169189453,"liquidity":9719.7112,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T21:11:51.830988Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T17:58:39.193539Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T20:06:19.067746Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026-20260730180201140","event_title":"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.085,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/774077","as_of":"2026-07-31T23:09:38.972746Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}