{"source":"polymarket","id":"776884","ticker":"spacex-starship-flight-test-14","slug":"spacex-starship-flight-test-14","title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","description":"This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:36:09.800712Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1468.371267,"volume_24hr":1468.371267,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.4993896484375,"normalized_volume":12.121204376220703,"liquidity":20719.1406,"open_interest":643.939217,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"63","slug":"spacex","label":"SpaceX"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 31","top_outcome_probability":0.915,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.41500000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:00.077780Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:00.077780Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.861329Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,40.1,40.1,41.35,41.35,41.35,202.129217,272.129217,272.129217,332.129217,512.899217,1058.171267,1058.171267,1058.171267,1468.371267],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3240741","event_id":"776884","slug":"will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-launch-by-september-30","question":"Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.905,0.095],"probability":0.905,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:36:57.245245Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1182.121267,"volume_24hr":1182.121267,"prob_24h_change":0.405,"volume_24h_change":1182.121267,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.918516159057617,"normalized_volume":14.689701080322266,"liquidity":3203.8731,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:04:07.555307Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:00:38.779027Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.878279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-launch-by-september-30","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.74,0.735,0.755,0.845,0.815,0.765,0.765,0.825,0.885,0.905]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3240740","event_id":"776884","slug":"will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-launch-by-august-31","question":"Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.54,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:36:52.365111Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.25,"volume_24hr":81.25,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":81.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.901276588439941,"normalized_volume":5.70530366897583,"liquidity":745.6928,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T06:24:25.648269Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T06:23:11.821747Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.878279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-launch-by-august-31","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.515,0.59,0.585,0.585,0.545,0.585,0.575,0.585,0.275,0.605,0.59,0.615,0.62]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3240746","event_id":"776884","slug":"will-the-chopsticks-catch-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-starship","question":"Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?","group_item_title":"Chopsticks catch Starship?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.\n\nThis market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.525,0.475],"probability":0.525,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:36:24.872906Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.874041557312012,"normalized_volume":8.25166130065918,"liquidity":1429.4623,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:04:07.555307Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:00:38.779027Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.878279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/will-the-chopsticks-catch-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-starship","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.51,0.61,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.53,0.525,0.52,0.53,0.525]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3240745","event_id":"776884","slug":"will-the-chopsticks-catch-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-superheavy-booster","question":"Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?","group_item_title":"Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the booster for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.\n\nThis market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:36:48.109340Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.445,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4695390462875366,"normalized_volume":0.9419060945510864,"liquidity":1909.4015,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T05:39:58.696257Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T01:46:50.911418Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.878279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/will-the-chopsticks-catch-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-superheavy-booster","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.51,0.325,0.05,0.045,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3240742","event_id":"776884","slug":"will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-launch-by-october-31","question":"Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.915,0.085],"probability":0.915,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:36:44.261637Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.41500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":5149.1453,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T05:15:09.198012Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T01:15:00.710852Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.878279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-launch-by-october-31","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.735,0.835,0.835,0.84,0.885,0.91,0.905,0.905,0.91,0.915]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3240743","event_id":"776884","slug":"will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-superheavy-pop","question":"Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?","group_item_title":"Super Heavy booster explodes?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the booster for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).\n\nIf the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:37:05.162363Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":3031.5395,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:33:44.846273Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:32:49.631568Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.878279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/will-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-superheavy-pop","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.505,0.715,0.76,0.765,0.86,0.85]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3240744","event_id":"776884","slug":"will-the-starship-for-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-achieve-a-successful-splashdown","question":"Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?","group_item_title":"Successful splash down?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf SpaceX attempts to catch the Starship upper stage using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks instead of attempting an ocean splashdown, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-flight-test-10-KJ2wEPdcMh5k.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T14:36:09.800712Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":413.5111,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:01:57.120220Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:00:38.779027Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T14:43:49.878279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/will-the-starship-for-spacex-starship-flight-test-14-achieve-a-successful-splashdown","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.51,0.505,0.515,0.51,0.505,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/776884","as_of":"2026-08-01T08:36:28.805363Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14\" — top market at 90% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}