{"source":"polymarket","id":"777208","ticker":"how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301","slug":"how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301","title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:05.715003Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1612.788464,"volume_24hr":1612.788464,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.08159065246582,"normalized_volume":12.435029029846191,"liquidity":7451.51058,"open_interest":638.4116859999999,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"100184","slug":"earthquake","label":"earthquake"},{"id":"103038","slug":"earthquakes","label":"Earthquakes"},{"id":"101998","slug":"natural-disaster","label":"Natural Disaster"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0","top_outcome_probability":0.46,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10500000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":991.7799999999999,"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:13.764145Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:13.764145Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.578250Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,98.0,1068.90291,1068.90291,1080.008464,1080.008464,1080.008464],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3241381","event_id":"777208","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452455","question":"Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?","group_item_title":"0","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:05.715003Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":991.78,"volume_24hr":991.7799999999999,"prob_24h_change":0.10500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":991.7799999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.79636001586914,"normalized_volume":13.970452308654785,"liquidity":1294.3036,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:56:17.700084Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:13.837517Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.592395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301/will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452455","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.6,0.44,0.44,0.46]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3241382","event_id":"777208","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-1-earthquake-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452456","question":"Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?","group_item_title":"1","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:08.774029Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":205.125134,"volume_24hr":205.125134,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":205.125134,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.996576309204102,"normalized_volume":8.3302001953125,"liquidity":710.6587,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T19:00:11.060289Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T18:58:48.890144Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.592395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301/will-there-be-exactly-1-earthquake-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452456","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.31,0.31]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3241383","event_id":"777208","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-2-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452457","question":"Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?","group_item_title":"2","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:14.126403Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":92.105554,"volume_24hr":92.105554,"prob_24h_change":-0.325,"volume_24h_change":92.105554,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.40878963470459,"normalized_volume":6.030595779418945,"liquidity":830.8649,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T21:13:17.104364Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T21:11:14.631027Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.592395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301/will-there-be-exactly-2-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452457","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.43,0.165,0.165,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3241384","event_id":"777208","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-3-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452458","question":"Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?","group_item_title":"3","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:17.109963Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":76.777776,"volume_24hr":76.777776,"prob_24h_change":-0.44,"volume_24h_change":76.777776,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.677003860473633,"normalized_volume":5.5615553855896,"liquidity":1333.0601,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:33:44.846273Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:32:52.276124Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.592395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301/will-there-be-exactly-3-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452458","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.38,0.075,0.08,0.105,0.07,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3241385","event_id":"777208","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-4-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452459","question":"Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?","group_item_title":"4","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.048,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:23.929970Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":106.0,"volume_24hr":106.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.464,"volume_24h_change":106.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.994969367980957,"normalized_volume":6.406310081481934,"liquidity":565.86572,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:44.451660Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:13.837517Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.592395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301/will-there-be-exactly-4-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452459","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.38,0.045,0.037,0.0355,0.0355,0.035,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3241386","event_id":"777208","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452460","question":"Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?","group_item_title":"5","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:27.817159Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4735,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.076364994049072,"normalized_volume":4.535620212554932,"liquidity":952.12195,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:12:44.450133Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:12:10.215108Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.592395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301/will-there-be-exactly-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452460","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.235,0.027,0.0295,0.0265,0.026,0.0265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3241387","event_id":"777208","slug":"will-there-be-more-than-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452461","question":"Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?","group_item_title":">5","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.045,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T16:47:32.875350Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":91.0,"volume_24hr":91.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4735,"volume_24h_change":91.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.359275817871094,"normalized_volume":5.998859405517578,"liquidity":972.26279,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:44.451660Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:13.837517Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T16:59:51.592395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-august-3-august-9-1196726301/will-there-be-more-than-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-august-3-august-9-20260731145452461","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.225,0.0255,0.0245,0.0255,0.025,0.0255]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/777208","as_of":"2026-07-31T23:11:49.274742Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?\" — top market at 46% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}