{"source":"polymarket","id":"778445","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-2-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-2-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T20:07:11Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24003.191583999997,"volume_24hr":24003.191584000007,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.03717041015625,"normalized_volume":23.185527801513672,"liquidity":14280.5266,"open_interest":13785.431624,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.235,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.265,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":24003.191584000007,"updated_at":"2026-08-01T19:33:22.935427Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T19:33:22.935427Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:12.495190Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-2-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,721.579938,721.579938,923.913103,923.913103,925.731283,925.731283,925.731283,934.549463,934.549463,934.549463,934.549463,12165.866537,24003.191584000007,24003.191584000007],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3246822","event_id":"778445","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-2-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T20:07:11Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24003.191583999997,"volume_24hr":24003.191584000007,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":24003.191584000007,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.56485366821289,"normalized_volume":29.845903396606445,"liquidity":23789.9792,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T19:34:43.626999Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T19:33:23.044292Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T20:22:13.329369Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-2-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-2-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.515,0.365,0.175,0.235]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/778445","as_of":"2026-08-01T19:45:07.475311Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?\" — top market at 24% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}