{"source":"polymarket","id":"778993","ticker":"nothing-ever-happens-august-20260731190455728","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-august-20260731190455728","title":"Nothing Ever Happens: August","description":"This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150\n- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal\n- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire\n- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law\n- Fed emergency rate cut \n- Iran targets Ukraine\n- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed\n- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\n- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control \n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T22:36:26.861386Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1042.778325,"volume_24hr":1042.7783250000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.438642501831055,"normalized_volume":11.01095199584961,"liquidity":11647.4876,"open_interest":827.312124,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101337","slug":"parlays","label":"Parlays"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.18999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1042.7783250000002,"updated_at":"2026-08-01T21:45:51.691420Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T21:45:51.691420Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:35.568738Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-august-20260731190455728","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,169.491524,211.683606,211.683606,237.587083,1025.3364680000002,1025.3364680000002,1025.3364680000002,1042.7783250000002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3249760","event_id":"778993","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-august-20260731190455728","question":"Nothing Ever Happens: August","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150\n- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal\n- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire\n- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law\n- Fed emergency rate cut \n- Iran targets Ukraine\n- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed\n- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\n- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control \n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","outcomes":["Nothing","Something"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T22:36:26.861386Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1042.778325,"volume_24hr":1042.7783250000002,"prob_24h_change":0.18999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":1042.7783250000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.113964080810547,"normalized_volume":14.17402172088623,"liquidity":11647.4876,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T21:46:58.176524Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T21:45:51.779970Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:35.669491Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-august-20260731190455728/nothing-ever-happens-august-20260731190455728","event_title":"Nothing Ever Happens: August","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.695,0.69,0.735,0.755,0.765,0.77,0.82,0.815,0.805,0.8,0.785,0.86,0.845,0.845,0.855]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/778993","as_of":"2026-08-01T21:49:28.487566Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Nothing Ever Happens: August\" — top market at 85% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}