{"source":"polymarket","id":"779012","ticker":"grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450","slug":"grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450","title":"Grok (Web) Outage by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nOnly incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.\n\nIncidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify. \n\nAn incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.\n\nAn incident which is marked \"Resolved\" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked \"Resolved.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450-ivGNSh1mil3z.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450-ivGNSh1mil3z.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T22:45:06.565703Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.0,"volume_24hr":31.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":892.7107,"open_interest":31.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"101866","slug":"xai","label":"xAI"},{"id":"540","slug":"grok","label":"Grok"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1563","slug":"outage","label":"outage"},{"id":"104287","slug":"outages","label":"outages"},{"id":"105775","slug":"spacexai","label":"SpaceXAI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.715,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-01T04:43:40.553657Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T04:43:40.553657Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:37.347431Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3249832","event_id":"779012","slug":"grok-web-outage-by-august-31-2026-20260728191715772","question":"Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nOnly incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.\n\nIncidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify. \n\nAn incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.\n\nAn incident which is marked \"Resolved\" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked \"Resolved.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T22:45:06.565703Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.0,"volume_24hr":31.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":202.4173,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T00:56:34.398213Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T00:56:34.398213Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:37.376661Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450/grok-web-outage-by-august-31-2026-20260728191715772","event_title":"Grok (Web) Outage by...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3249834","event_id":"779012","slug":"grok-web-outage-by-december-31-2026-20260728191715774","question":"Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nOnly incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.\n\nIncidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify. \n\nAn incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.\n\nAn incident which is marked \"Resolved\" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked \"Resolved.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.715,0.285],"probability":0.715,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T22:45:35.466579Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":157.9792,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T00:37:27.411305Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T00:37:27.411305Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:37.376661Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450/grok-web-outage-by-december-31-2026-20260728191715774","event_title":"Grok (Web) Outage by...?","chart_24h":[0.53,0.53]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3249833","event_id":"779012","slug":"grok-web-outage-by-october-31-2026-20260728191715773","question":"Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nOnly incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.\n\nIncidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify. \n\nAn incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.\n\nAn incident which is marked \"Resolved\" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked \"Resolved.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.45],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T22:46:39.874489Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":254.8085,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T02:59:43.003527Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T02:59:43.003527Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T22:54:37.376661Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-web-outage-byptptpt-20260728191439450/grok-web-outage-by-october-31-2026-20260728191715773","event_title":"Grok (Web) Outage by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/779012","as_of":"2026-08-01T05:06:35.664545Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Grok (Web) Outage by...?\" — top market at 42% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}