{"source":"polymarket","id":"779077","ticker":"july-inflation-china-annual","slug":"july-inflation-china-annual","title":"July Inflation China - Annual","description":"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending July 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Index in July 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/november-inflation-china-monthly-4lMPpXprmgqE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/november-inflation-china-monthly-4lMPpXprmgqE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T23:33:34.810248Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3565.366195,"volume_24hr":3565.366195,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.303470611572266,"normalized_volume":15.248064994812012,"liquidity":4895.5271,"open_interest":999.2531809999999,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"101701","slug":"cpi","label":"CPI"},{"id":"303","slug":"china","label":"China"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"702","slug":"inflation","label":"Inflation"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"1.1% - 1.2%","top_outcome_probability":0.35,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.15500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2012.646058,"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:49.870977Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:49.870977Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T23:51:43.260686Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/july-inflation-china-annual","chart_24h":[0.0,1364.1147640000002,1425.367775,2641.456195,3565.366195],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3250879","event_id":"779077","slug":"will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-between-1pt1-and-1pt2-in-july-20260730163640990","question":"Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?","group_item_title":"1.1% - 1.2%","description":"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending July 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Index in July 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T23:33:48.648862Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2012.6460580000003,"volume_24hr":2012.646058,"prob_24h_change":-0.15500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":2012.646058,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.49285316467285,"normalized_volume":16.98068618774414,"liquidity":1214.5583,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:50.137848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:50.137848Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T23:51:43.317858Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/july-inflation-china-annual/will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-between-1pt1-and-1pt2-in-july-20260730163640990","event_title":"July Inflation China - Annual","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.355,0.345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3250874","event_id":"779077","slug":"will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-between-0pt9-and-1pt0-in-july-20260730163640989","question":"Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?","group_item_title":"0.9% - 1.0%","description":"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending July 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Index in July 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.335,0.665],"probability":0.335,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T23:33:43.655664Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":513.132856,"volume_24hr":513.132856,"prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":513.132856,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.837594985961914,"normalized_volume":11.433067321777344,"liquidity":796.9561,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:50.137848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:50.137848Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T23:51:43.317858Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/july-inflation-china-annual/will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-between-0pt9-and-1pt0-in-july-20260730163640989","event_title":"July Inflation China - Annual","chart_24h":[0.5,0.32,0.32,0.325,0.33]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3250873","event_id":"779077","slug":"will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-between-0pt7-and-0pt8-in-july-20260730163640988","question":"Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?","group_item_title":"0.7% - 0.8%","description":"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending July 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Index in July 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T23:33:36.557993Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":608.1114309999999,"volume_24hr":608.111431,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":608.111431,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.819536209106445,"normalized_volume":12.062446594238281,"liquidity":839.498,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:04:07.555307Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:01:32.968748Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T23:51:43.317858Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/july-inflation-china-annual/will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-between-0pt7-and-0pt8-in-july-20260730163640988","event_title":"July Inflation China - Annual","chart_24h":[0.5,0.205,0.185,0.14,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3250883","event_id":"779077","slug":"will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-1pt3-in-july-20260730163640991","question":"Will China's CPI increase by at least 1.3% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?","group_item_title":"1.3%+","description":"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending July 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Index in July 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T23:33:52.704595Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":227.72584999999998,"volume_24hr":227.72585,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":227.72585,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.50905704498291,"normalized_volume":8.658677101135254,"liquidity":969.0769,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:50.137848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T08:26:50.137848Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T23:51:43.317858Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/july-inflation-china-annual/will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-1pt3-in-july-20260730163640991","event_title":"July Inflation China - Annual","chart_24h":[0.5,0.11,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3250872","event_id":"779077","slug":"will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-0pt6-in-july-20260730163640987","question":"Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?","group_item_title":"≤0.6%","description":"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending July 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Index in July 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-31T23:33:34.810248Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":203.75,"volume_24hr":203.75,"prob_24h_change":-0.435,"volume_24h_change":203.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.963943481445312,"normalized_volume":8.309284210205078,"liquidity":726.5602,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T07:19:22.260581Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T07:15:59.334022Z","added_at":"2026-07-31T23:51:43.317858Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/july-inflation-china-annual/will-chinas-annual-inflation-increase-by-0pt6-in-july-20260730163640987","event_title":"July Inflation China - Annual","chart_24h":[0.5,0.05,0.06,0.065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/779077","as_of":"2026-08-01T08:35:24.579636Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"July Inflation China - Annual\" — top market at 35% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}