{"source":"polymarket","id":"781950","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15841.721302000004,"volume_24hr":15784.858560000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.604740142822266,"normalized_volume":21.31390380859375,"liquidity":26587.8865,"open_interest":13698.637037,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.765,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.26,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":15697.995818000005,"updated_at":"2026-08-02T22:13:28.205320Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T22:13:28.205320Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T17:05:42.841041Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","chart_24h":[56.862742000000004,86.862742,86.86274200000001,149.992742,149.992742,225.69162399999996,571.5040209999999,662.808628,983.3303920000001,983.3303920000001,7322.918764000001,11633.443157000003,11633.443157000003,12238.423622000002,13695.733195000004,14533.815620000003,15784.858560000004],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3264327","event_id":"781950","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.765,0.235],"probability":0.765,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15841.721302000004,"volume_24hr":15784.858560000004,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":15697.995818000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.16683578491211,"normalized_volume":27.43739891052246,"liquidity":26983.3862,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T22:18:29.304509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T22:13:28.457314Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T17:05:43.447168Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.515,0.52,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.545,0.55,0.595,0.65,0.62,0.675,0.695,0.765]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/781950","as_of":"2026-08-02T22:29:22.255693Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?\" — top market at 76% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}