{"source":"polymarket","id":"781952","ticker":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","title":"Ethereum Up or Down on August 3?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7829.381627999999,"volume_24hr":7829.381627999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.347869873046875,"normalized_volume":18.320743560791016,"liquidity":20454.4392,"open_interest":3276.494188,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"39","slug":"ethereum","label":"Ethereum"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.31499999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7809.9698659999995,"updated_at":"2026-08-02T22:13:28.205320Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T22:13:28.205320Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T17:05:42.841041Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,19.411762,19.411762,19.411762,19.411762,19.411762,19.411762,21.372545,37.058818,37.058818,1122.35062,1172.853952,1172.853952,2424.603358,3953.053154,4022.621428,7829.381627999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3264336","event_id":"781952","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","question":"Ethereum Up or Down on August 3?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.815,0.185],"probability":0.815,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7829.381627999999,"volume_24hr":7829.381627999999,"prob_24h_change":0.31499999999999995,"volume_24h_change":7809.9698659999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.272220611572266,"normalized_volume":23.58430290222168,"liquidity":20053.089,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T22:18:29.304509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T22:13:28.457314Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T17:05:43.447168Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026/ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-3-2026","event_title":"Ethereum Up or Down on August 3?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.575,0.615,0.695,0.695,0.745,0.775,0.815]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/781952","as_of":"2026-08-02T22:34:52.772010Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ethereum Up or Down on August 3?\" — top market at 82% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}