{"source":"polymarket","id":"783582","ticker":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15","title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Islam Makhachev\" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Ian Machado Garry\" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:17Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2199.1070689999997,"volume_24hr":2199.107069,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.19780731201172,"normalized_volume":13.499837875366211,"liquidity":17427.2576,"open_interest":1574.19046,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry","top_outcome_probability":0.745,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2099.107069,"updated_at":"2026-08-02T12:36:58.974817Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T12:36:58.974817Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.052946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15","chart_24h":[100.0,1452.232196,1696.5946630000003,1696.5946630000003,1699.7196630000003,1699.719663,1699.7196630000003,1699.7196630000003,1720.6996630000003,2199.107069],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275573","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15","question":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","group_item_title":"Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry","description":"This market will resolve to \"Islam Makhachev\" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Ian Machado Garry\" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Islam Makhachev","Ian Machado 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Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":51.2113,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T09:33:51.857313Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T09:33:19.106467Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.495,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275588","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":14.1102,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T23:28:33.564022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T23:25:54.660189Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275589","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":11.0338,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T11:26:20.377810Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T11:25:33.907686Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main 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the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":14.1305,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T23:28:33.564022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T23:25:54.660189Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-3pt5","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275591","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-4pt5","question":"O/U 4.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 4.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 4.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.\n\n\"Under 4.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":14.1245,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T23:28:33.564022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T23:25:54.660189Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-totals-4pt5","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.41,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275579","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:17Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":60.1804,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T08:08:21.609604Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T07:59:05.590927Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.435,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275582","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-machado-garry-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Machado Garry to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ian Machado Garry defeats Islam Makhachev at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":47.9199,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T05:51:54.159855Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T05:51:15.362277Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-machado-garry-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275583","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":57.0698,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T12:13:52.408420Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T12:13:07.094626Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275574","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":26.2503,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T23:28:33.564022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T23:25:54.660189Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.36,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3275581","event_id":"783582","slug":"ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-makhachev-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Makhachev to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Islam Makhachev defeats Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-01T22:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":31.7817,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-01T23:28:33.564022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","added_at":"2026-08-01T22:23:43.160000Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15/ufc-isl-ian1-2026-08-15-makhachev-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.435]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/783582","as_of":"2026-08-02T12:44:44.428354Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)\" — top market at 74% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}