{"source":"polymarket","id":"786766","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-02T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32219.232296,"volume_24hr":16913.140022999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.005558013916016,"normalized_volume":21.030113220214844,"liquidity":33325.2536,"open_interest":27060.318996,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.625,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.125,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":16911.179239999998,"updated_at":"2026-08-03T20:47:19.260008Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T20:47:19.260008Z","added_at":"2026-08-02T16:24:37.557115Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","chart_24h":[1.960783,1.960783,1.960783,1.960783,1.960783,1.960783,1.960783,19.205676,62.848938,133.795206,158.825142,158.825142,158.82514200000003,158.82514200000003,163.82514200000003,163.82514200000003,451.55906200000004,451.55906200000004,675.559062,12949.924419,12949.924419,13257.089617,13942.022708,14738.555644,14738.555644],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3290626","event_id":"786766","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.625,0.375],"probability":0.625,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-02T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32219.232296,"volume_24hr":16913.140022999996,"prob_24h_change":0.125,"volume_24h_change":16911.179239999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.04974365234375,"normalized_volume":27.073307037353516,"liquidity":33354.1187,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T20:50:24.012654Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T20:47:19.461816Z","added_at":"2026-08-02T16:24:37.624977Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.515,0.51,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.505,0.565,0.565,0.595,0.605,0.595,0.635,0.645]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/786766","as_of":"2026-08-03T20:52:06.328877Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?\" — top market at 62% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}