{"source":"polymarket","id":"786767","ticker":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","title":"Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-02T16:07:20Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3627.145063,"volume_24hr":3627.1450629999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.173398971557617,"normalized_volume":15.310977935791016,"liquidity":25794.1585,"open_interest":3276.595063,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"39","slug":"ethereum","label":"Ethereum"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.615,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.11499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3568.3215349999996,"updated_at":"2026-08-03T20:25:23.493140Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T20:25:23.493140Z","added_at":"2026-08-02T16:24:37.557115Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,58.823528,58.823528,58.823528,1282.665485,1282.665485,2988.638783,3431.811731,3627.1450629999995,3627.1450629999995],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3290627","event_id":"786767","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","question":"Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.615,0.385],"probability":0.615,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-02T16:07:20Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3627.145063,"volume_24hr":3627.1450629999995,"prob_24h_change":0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":3568.3215349999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.512117385864258,"normalized_volume":19.710725784301758,"liquidity":26679.0319,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T20:27:22.761455Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T20:25:23.724288Z","added_at":"2026-08-02T16:24:37.624977Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026/ethereum-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","event_title":"Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.54,0.56,0.575,0.595,0.585,0.605,0.615]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/786767","as_of":"2026-08-03T20:45:45.695137Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?\" — top market at 62% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}