{"source":"polymarket","id":"79123","ticker":"how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","slug":"how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:22.619699Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":299046.099201,"volume_24hr":12948.753205,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.28483963012695,"normalized_volume":36.1422233581543,"liquidity":121603.94949,"open_interest":27263.428649,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below 4.7%","top_outcome_probability":0.525,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":261.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:18.703485Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:18.703485Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","chart_24h":[162.49,162.49,162.49,162.49,162.49,162.49,162.49,162.49,162.49,162.49,100.0,100.0,100.0,120.0,120.0,70.0,315.0,497.39,1189.361482,1468.306538,1702.836538,2683.595504,2827.158492,3155.648917,3227.648917,3232.648917,3232.648917,3243.628917,4182.447524,6429.074191,10855.468255,11567.698255,12040.426033,12143.276033,12193.716033,12768.813811,12908.813811,12942.813811,12942.813811],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4797668","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt7-before-2027","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 4.7%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.525,0.475],"probability":0.525,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-21T16:12:09Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":261.0,"volume_24hr":261.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":261.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.328818321228027,"normalized_volume":9.0970458984375,"liquidity":588.5406,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-21T21:45:23.129370Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T21:45:23.129370Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T16:17:20.791251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt7-before-2027","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.475,0.475,0.42,0.52,0.525]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4797667","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt6-before-2027","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 4.6%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. 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If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-21T16:12:08Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1923.383839,"volume_24hr":1923.383839,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":1923.383839,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.739665985107422,"normalized_volume":16.778881072998047,"liquidity":776.3261,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T16:17:20.791251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt5-before-2027","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.25,0.115,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.335,0.355,0.33,0.335,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4797671","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt4-before-2027","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 4.4%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. 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If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-21T16:12:08Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1079.635569,"volume_24hr":1079.635569,"prob_24h_change":-0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":1079.635569,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.401708602905273,"normalized_volume":14.315908432006836,"liquidity":4896.3463,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T07:34:35.155340Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T07:34:35.155340Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T16:17:20.791251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt3-before-2027","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.125,0.475,0.475,0.325,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.195,0.17,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4797670","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt2-before-2027","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 4.2%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. 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If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-21T16:12:09Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1101.1574810000002,"volume_24hr":1101.157481,"prob_24h_change":-0.35000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":1101.157481,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.511409759521484,"normalized_volume":14.396852493286133,"liquidity":3077.3934,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T16:17:20.791251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt2-before-2027","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.475,0.475,0.47,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.11,0.115,0.12,0.12,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4797669","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt1-before-2027","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 4.1%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. 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If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0255,0.9745],"probability":0.0255,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:23.926983Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54993.125748,"volume_24hr":245.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.005000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":195.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.05136489868164,"normalized_volume":34.95378494262695,"liquidity":26764.12766,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt9-before-2027-794","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.031,0.0315,0.0305,0.0305,0.031,0.0305,0.0305,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.029,0.027,0.0255,0.0255,0.0255,0.0255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677145","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt8-before-2027-914","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 3.8%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:24.181942Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62785.18515300001,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-55.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.828525066375732,"normalized_volume":35.807621002197266,"liquidity":20435.48328,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T08:12:19.545002Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt8-before-2027-914","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.023,0.0225,0.0225,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677138","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt0-before-2027","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?","group_item_title":"4.0%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4-in-2025-BigPCRMbBdLy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4-in-2025-BigPCRMbBdLy.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:23.410352Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-28T00:03:43Z","volume":31759.25017,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.52594757080078,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt0-before-2027","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677144","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt7-before-2027-737","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 3.7%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:24.703260Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35629.77096100001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":-4.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.22929000854492,"liquidity":30798.95718,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T04:09:35.596457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T04:09:35.596457Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt7-before-2027-737","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.031,0.0315,0.031,0.0315,0.031,0.032,0.0305,0.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677139","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-before-2027-431","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 3.5%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.024,0.976],"probability":0.024,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:22.619699Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43094.595097000005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.40971374511719,"liquidity":1597.59649,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-21T16:17:20.791251Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T16:17:20.791251Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-before-2027-431","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.024,0.0235,0.024]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677143","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt6-before-2027-662","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 3.6%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt5-in-2025-vwtsx-rZ8Tge.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0235,0.9765],"probability":0.0235,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:22.882012Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8903.078799999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-7.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.265172958374023,"liquidity":19239.45819,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T06:00:22.923972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T06:00:22.923972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt6-before-2027-662","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.024,0.023,0.024,0.0235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677141","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-2pt0-before-2027-312","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 2.0%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-2pt0-in-2025-eNt957JZ5-I5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-2pt0-in-2025-eNt957JZ5-I5.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.015,0.985],"probability":0.015,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:24.437864Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":563.585764,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.778532981872559,"liquidity":1219.42693,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T12:32:51.743758Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T12:32:51.743758Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-2pt0-before-2027-312","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677140","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt0-before-2027-261","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 3.0%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt0-in-2025-Vae5Aqpf2Sii.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt0-in-2025-Vae5Aqpf2Sii.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:23.669795Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7957.816963000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.669971466064453,"liquidity":2475.33179,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-21T08:53:44.934572Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T08:53:44.934572Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-3pt0-before-2027-261","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677142","event_id":"79123","slug":"will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-1pt0-before-2027-748","question":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?","group_item_title":"Below 1.0%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-1pt0-in-2025-zbdhGxCf0el3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-1pt0-in-2025-zbdhGxCf0el3.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:23.141958Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40695.93733999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.05208206176758,"liquidity":794.35585,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-21T15:22:09.617272Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T15:22:09.617272Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027/will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-1pt0-before-2027-748","event_title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/79123","as_of":"2026-09-22T08:25:07.575051Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?\" — top market at 6% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}