{"source":"polymarket","id":"791356","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-5-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-5-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48459.53780999998,"volume_24hr":48453.655459,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.17150115966797,"normalized_volume":26.192466735839844,"liquidity":31066.8288,"open_interest":27435.13684,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.495,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":48040.06310800001,"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:32:57.296270Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:32:57.296270Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T16:09:41.597183Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-5-2026","chart_24h":[5.882351,5.882351,5.882351,76.490186,154.254887,154.254887,169.056454,169.056454,222.74272200000001,260.744289,302.312907,302.312907,302.312907,307.312907,307.312907,307.312907,509.407134,509.407134,528.6379000000001,1305.3670040000002,19555.615055,22971.343328,44635.896617000006,45104.244750000005],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3307296","event_id":"791356","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-5-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48459.53780999998,"volume_24hr":48453.655459,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":48040.06310800001,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.11680603027344,"normalized_volume":33.720027923583984,"liquidity":30991.1783,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:32:57.508396Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:32:57.508396Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T16:09:41.675839Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-5-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-5-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.485,0.485,0.49,0.47,0.505,0.615,0.595,0.505]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/791356","as_of":"2026-08-04T20:35:15.279828Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?\" — top market at 50% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}