{"source":"polymarket","id":"79222","ticker":"iran-nuke-before-2027","slug":"iran-nuke-before-2027","title":"Iran Nuke before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T23:10:38.346766Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1224231.0299899995,"volume_24hr":288.0872589999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.210522651672363,"normalized_volume":44.780784606933594,"liquidity":90626.25055,"open_interest":384468.779704,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"1289","slug":"nuclear","label":"Nuclear"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0485,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2205.9144,"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:08:36.106504Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:08:36.106504Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-before-2027","chart_24h":[2494.001659,2494.001659,1994.001659,1900.9016590000003,1245.1616589999999,1249.991659,1255.0316589999998,1256.191659,1245.751551,1245.7515509999998,1390.7088989999997,1397.5917429999997,1363.1117429999997,1363.1117429999997,1363.1117429999997,1363.1117429999997,1363.1117429999997,1363.1117429999997,1363.1117429999997,1361.8817429999997,1356.9444729999998,1356.9444729999998,1356.9444729999998,1364.5444729999997,1231.5944729999999,1231.5944729999999,288.0872589999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"677396","event_id":"79222","slug":"iran-nuke-before-2027","question":"Iran Nuke before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0485,0.9515],"probability":0.0485,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T23:10:38.346766Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1224231.0299899995,"volume_24hr":288.0872589999999,"prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-2205.9144,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.37183952331543,"normalized_volume":57.65134048461914,"liquidity":90426.34055,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:24:19.968377Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:08:36.899917Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-before-2027/iran-nuke-before-2027","event_title":"Iran Nuke before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0465,0.0465,0.047,0.047,0.047,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.051,0.051,0.052,0.052,0.0515,0.0515,0.0485]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/79222","as_of":"2026-08-05T15:37:29.528549Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Iran Nuke before 2027?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}