{"source":"polymarket","id":"79228","ticker":"us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027","slug":"us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027","title":"US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nDonald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. \n\nStatement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. \n\nUkrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.\n\nThe resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-5-k1BZX5skK1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-5-k1BZX5skK1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T23:20:41.158237Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43945.508915000006,"volume_24hr":83.28000000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.944413185119629,"normalized_volume":25.090492248535156,"liquidity":15796.5275,"open_interest":17540.157775,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":83.28000000000002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:09:45.180532Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:09:45.180532Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,4.29,4.29,24.28,24.28,24.28,24.28,24.28,46.28,53.28,65.28,65.28,65.28,65.28,76.28000000000002,76.28000000000002,76.28000000000002,76.28000000000002,76.28000000000002,76.28000000000002,76.28000000000002,83.28000000000002,83.28000000000002,83.28000000000002,83.28000000000002,83.28000000000002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"677403","event_id":"79228","slug":"us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027","question":"US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nDonald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. \n\nStatement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. \n\nUkrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.\n\nThe resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-5-k1BZX5skK1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-5-k1BZX5skK1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T23:10:40.344643Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43945.508915000006,"volume_24hr":83.28000000000002,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":83.28000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.146260261535645,"normalized_volume":29.316883087158203,"liquidity":14559.6235,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States","Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:52:39.831017Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:49:53.112464Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027","event_title":"US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.16,0.16,0.155,0.16,0.155,0.16,0.16]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/79228","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:19:58.250934Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?\" — top market at 16% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}