{"source":"polymarket","id":"792906","ticker":"spx-opens-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","slug":"spx-opens-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","title":"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 4 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 4 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks\nEMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea\nASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T20:04:53Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3221.8,"volume_24hr":3221.8,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.33615493774414,"normalized_volume":14.871475219726562,"liquidity":985.2493,"open_interest":1907.087555,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"102683","slug":"spx","label":"SPX"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"102682","slug":"indicies","label":"Indicies"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.125,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3221.8,"updated_at":"2026-08-04T09:24:26.249450Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T09:24:26.249450Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T20:27:12.087061Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,40.0,51.11111,171.11111,202.36111,233.47222,233.47222,371.73047399999996,453.06380599999994,463.62035599999996,463.62035599999996,828.697513,828.697513,1514.457387,2593.707387,3221.8],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3319457","event_id":"792906","slug":"spx-opens-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","question":"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 4 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on August 4 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks\nEMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea\nASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T20:04:53Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3221.8,"volume_24hr":3221.8,"prob_24h_change":0.125,"volume_24h_change":3221.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.63645362854004,"normalized_volume":19.145050048828125,"liquidity":963.0061,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T09:25:17.701539Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T09:24:26.377853Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T20:27:12.222919Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-august-4-2026","event_title":"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4?","chart_24h":[0.515,0.565,0.575,0.59,0.595,0.58,0.665,0.705,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.765,0.765,0.785,0.8,0.64]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/792906","as_of":"2026-08-04T09:38:22.005014Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4?\" — top market at 64% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}