{"source":"polymarket","id":"796823","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-6-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-6-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39574.666569,"volume_24hr":39574.666568999986,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.8936653137207,"normalized_volume":25.43756675720215,"liquidity":41885.0108,"open_interest":36481.20344,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.705,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":39574.666569,"updated_at":"2026-08-05T20:18:52.774911Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T20:18:52.774911Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T16:25:08.135378Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-6-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.0,2.0,2.0,23.843134,70.647051,108.62351300000002,110.87351300000002,110.87351300000002,112.83429600000001,112.834296,112.83429600000001,149.481353,31536.151009000005,32872.00509500001,37917.59611300001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3340215","event_id":"796823","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-6-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.295],"probability":0.705,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39574.666569,"volume_24hr":39574.666569,"prob_24h_change":0.19999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":39574.666569,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.09461212158203,"normalized_volume":32.82332229614258,"liquidity":40848.4647,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T20:24:29.283537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T20:18:53.237735Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T16:25:08.419614Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-6-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-6-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.575,0.655,0.705]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/796823","as_of":"2026-08-05T20:25:39.350343Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?\" — top market at 70% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}