{"source":"polymarket","id":"798388","ticker":"university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026","slug":"university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026","title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026-cfoR9ndL6mq5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026-cfoR9ndL6mq5.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:10.590242Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1426.897572,"volume_24hr":764.95,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.771106719970703,"normalized_volume":12.024145126342773,"liquidity":1711.77894,"open_interest":646.45922,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"105176","slug":"umich","label":"UMich"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"105094","slug":"consumer","label":"Consumer"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"52.0–54.9","top_outcome_probability":0.355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":81.12500000000001,"updated_at":"2026-08-06T10:16:14.134846Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T10:16:14.134846Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.331297Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026","chart_24h":[661.947572,661.947572,724.447572,724.447572,724.447572,724.447572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,824.437572,904.837572,904.837572,904.837572,904.837572,1321.267572,1321.267572,1321.267572,921.337572,659.32,764.95],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3347842","event_id":"798388","slug":"will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-52pt0-and-54pt9-in-august-1785878499356","question":"Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?","group_item_title":"52.0–54.9","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:19.980213Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":243.85500000000002,"volume_24hr":162.49,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":81.12500000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.612258911132812,"normalized_volume":8.877256393432617,"liquidity":232.4798,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T10:17:30.428136Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T10:16:14.464384Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.387946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026/will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-52pt0-and-54pt9-in-august-1785878499356","event_title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","chart_24h":[0.235,0.235,0.245,0.305,0.305,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3347843","event_id":"798388","slug":"will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-55pt0-and-57pt9-in-august-1785878499357","question":"Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?","group_item_title":"55.0–57.9","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:26.001143Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":622.05,"volume_24hr":522.06,"prob_24h_change":-0.034999999999999976,"volume_24h_change":422.06999999999994,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.51605224609375,"normalized_volume":12.147724151611328,"liquidity":195.4292,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T09:56:23.343823Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T09:52:48.768044Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.387946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026/will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-55pt0-and-57pt9-in-august-1785878499357","event_title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","chart_24h":[0.295,0.26,0.265,0.275,0.275,0.31,0.31,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.315,0.315,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3347844","event_id":"798388","slug":"will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-58pt0-and-60pt9-in-august-1785878499358","question":"Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 58.0 and 60.9 in August?","group_item_title":"58.0–60.9","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:29.808237Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":176.34237900000002,"volume_24hr":80.4,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":-15.542378999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.651905059814453,"normalized_volume":7.866581916809082,"liquidity":329.376,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T10:16:14.464384Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T10:16:14.464384Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.387946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026/will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-58pt0-and-60pt9-in-august-1785878499358","event_title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","chart_24h":[0.155,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.185,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.165,0.105,0.105,0.175,0.11,0.11,0.075,0.08,0.06,0.075,0.135,0.08,0.1,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3347841","event_id":"798388","slug":"will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-49pt0-and-51pt9-in-august-1785878499355","question":"Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?","group_item_title":"49.0–51.9","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:15.880653Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.480193,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-94.480193,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.097782135009766,"liquidity":236.225,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T10:17:30.428136Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T10:16:14.464384Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.387946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026/will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-49pt0-and-51pt9-in-august-1785878499355","event_title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","chart_24h":[0.125,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.145,0.215,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3347840","event_id":"798388","slug":"will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-below-49pt0-in-august-1785878499354","question":"Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 49.0 in August?","group_item_title":"<49.0","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.078,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:10.590242Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":97.19,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":-97.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.172876358032227,"liquidity":252.7392,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T09:54:16.171106Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T09:09:36.501464Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.387946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026/will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-below-49pt0-in-august-1785878499354","event_title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","chart_24h":[0.095,0.09,0.115,0.09,0.12,0.047,0.035,0.04,0.026,0.116,0.119,0.12,0.12,0.119,0.12,0.12,0.1225,0.124,0.115,0.12,0.1185,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3347845","event_id":"798388","slug":"will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-61pt0-and-63pt9-in-august-1785878499359","question":"Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 61.0 and 63.9 in August?","group_item_title":"61.0–63.9","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0985,0.9015],"probability":0.0985,"spread":0.177,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:31.829679Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0165,"volume_24h_change":-49.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.535168170928955,"liquidity":241.31495,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T10:17:30.428136Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T10:16:14.464384Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.387946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026/will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-between-61pt0-and-63pt9-in-august-1785878499359","event_title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","chart_24h":[0.115,0.115,0.21,0.2,0.155,0.04,0.055,0.045,0.04,0.0875,0.1615,0.184,0.168,0.1445,0.1295,0.1545,0.095,0.0985,0.0695,0.156,0.1395,0.107,0.1005,0.0985]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3347846","event_id":"798388","slug":"will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-at-least-64pt0-in-august-1785878499360","question":"Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 64.0 in August?","group_item_title":"64.0+","description":"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T22:18:37.901142Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":142.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-142.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.246298313140869,"liquidity":267.0539,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T09:54:16.171106Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T09:09:36.501464Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T22:36:47.387946Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-august-2026/will-umich-consumer-sentiment-be-at-least-64pt0-in-august-1785878499360","event_title":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026","chart_24h":[0.065,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/798388","as_of":"2026-08-06T10:32:14.311257Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026\" — top market at 26% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}