{"source":"polymarket","id":"800876","ticker":"amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026","slug":"amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026","title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026-IfHl5He0k3Hk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026-IfHl5He0k3Hk.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:39.625156Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1175.428243,"volume_24hr":1175.428243,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.117488861083984,"normalized_volume":11.377540588378906,"liquidity":11917.8435,"open_interest":176.868542,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102681","slug":"amzn","label":"AMZN"},{"id":"604","slug":"stocks","label":"Stocks"},{"id":"824","slug":"amazon","label":"amazon"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"102676","slug":"equities","label":"Equities"},{"id":"301","slug":"market-cap","label":"market cap"},{"id":"1095","slug":"market-capitalization","label":"market capitalization"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$3.00-$3.50T","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.12999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":120.520525,"updated_at":"2026-08-06T13:25:22.118054Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T13:25:22.118054Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.611455Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,40.0,116.491665,212.781665,232.881665,232.881665,232.88166500000003,232.881665,232.881665,232.881665,232.881665,232.881665,232.881665,232.881665,232.881665,272.881665,272.881665,1170.398243,1170.398243,1170.398243,1170.398243],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3358961","event_id":"800876","slug":"will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-2pt50t-and-3pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876098","question":"Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"$3.00-$3.50T","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:49.752223Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":120.520525,"volume_24hr":120.520525,"prob_24h_change":-0.12999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":120.520525,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.299763679504395,"normalized_volume":6.759984970092773,"liquidity":1797.1826,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:59:21.671046Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T12:58:19.891470Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.690650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026/will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-2pt50t-and-3pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876098","event_title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.445,0.46,0.44,0.325,0.32,0.325,0.31,0.315,0.33,0.305,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3358962","event_id":"800876","slug":"will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-3pt00t-and-3pt50t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876099","question":"Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"$3.50-$4.00T","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:54.574769Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":125.509876,"volume_24hr":125.509876,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":125.509876,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.473164558410645,"normalized_volume":6.8737921714782715,"liquidity":1626.7362,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:59:21.671046Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T12:33:31.039175Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.690650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026/will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-3pt00t-and-3pt50t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876099","event_title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.28,0.275,0.285,0.28,0.275,0.265,0.275,0.265,0.275,0.46,0.46,0.465,0.43,0.405,0.39,0.365,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.195,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3358960","event_id":"800876","slug":"will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-2pt00t-and-2pt50t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876097","question":"Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"$2.50-$3.00T","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:46.533289Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":407.90741599999996,"volume_24hr":407.907416,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":402.877416,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.098785400390625,"normalized_volume":10.566023826599121,"liquidity":1613.4296,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T13:25:23.077011Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T13:25:23.077011Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.690650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026/will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-2pt00t-and-2pt50t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876097","event_title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.255,0.25,0.38,0.28,0.425,0.37,0.37,0.365,0.335,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.315,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3358959","event_id":"800876","slug":"will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-1pt50t-and-2pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876096","question":"Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"$2.00-$2.50T","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:45.527273Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":124.995908,"volume_24hr":124.995908,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":124.995908,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.455554962158203,"normalized_volume":6.862235069274902,"liquidity":1667.1565,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:59:21.671046Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T11:55:09.606830Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.690650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026/will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-1pt50t-and-2pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876096","event_title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.265,0.265,0.26,0.255,0.25,0.43,0.395,0.405,0.405,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.105,0.1,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3358958","event_id":"800876","slug":"will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-less-than-1pt50t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876095","question":"Will Amazon’s market capitalization be less than $2.00T at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"<$2.00T","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:39.625156Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":141.498083,"volume_24hr":141.498083,"prob_24h_change":-0.195,"volume_24h_change":141.498083,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.994500160217285,"normalized_volume":7.215957164764404,"liquidity":1490.7039,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:59:21.671046Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T09:53:01.059857Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.690650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026/will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-less-than-1pt50t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876095","event_title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.265,0.24,0.245,0.24,0.255,0.265,0.265,0.255,0.25,0.415,0.38,0.425,0.375,0.345,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3358964","event_id":"800876","slug":"will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-at-least-4pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876101","question":"Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"$4.50T+","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:57:03.587521Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":129.998352,"volume_24hr":129.998352,"prob_24h_change":-0.195,"volume_24h_change":129.998352,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.624582290649414,"normalized_volume":6.973171710968018,"liquidity":1646.697,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:59:21.671046Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T11:55:09.606830Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.690650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026/will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-at-least-4pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876101","event_title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.23,0.2,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.215,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.195,0.19,0.22,0.205,0.215,0.205,0.21,0.22,0.215,0.065,0.07,0.065,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3358963","event_id":"800876","slug":"will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-3pt50t-and-4pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876100","question":"Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"$4.00-$4.50T","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:57.735508Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":124.99808300000001,"volume_24hr":124.99808300000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.2095,"volume_24h_change":124.99808300000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.4556303024292,"normalized_volume":6.862283706665039,"liquidity":1649.73557,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:34:35.506853Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T12:33:31.039175Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.690650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026/will-amazons-market-capitalization-be-between-3pt50t-and-4pt00t-at-the-end-of-2026-1785882876100","event_title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.225,0.21,0.205,0.215,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.195,0.19,0.22,0.205,0.215,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.21,0.22,0.215,0.08,0.08,0.035,0.0355]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/800876","as_of":"2026-08-06T13:26:38.886123Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?\" — top market at 10% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}