{"source":"polymarket","id":"80149","ticker":"will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30","slug":"will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30","title":"Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, xAI releases a Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny xAI dLMM will be considered to be released if it is launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nA Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM) is any model for which official publicly released documentation, such as a model card, technical paper, or official statements from its developers, clearly identifies diffusion or iterative denoising as a central part of its text-generation or decoding process.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30-Ib2RWR-7MLQg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30-Ib2RWR-7MLQg.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-14T20:18:18.880490Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5226.447255,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.08280372619629,"liquidity":2929.07393,"open_interest":3805.877139,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"},{"id":"540","slug":"grok","label":"Grok"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"101866","slug":"xai","label":"xAI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-36.395554,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:09:44.074729Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:09:44.074729Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30","chart_24h":[36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,36.395554,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"679894","event_id":"80149","slug":"will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30","question":"Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, xAI releases a Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny xAI dLMM will be considered to be released if it is launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nA Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM) is any model for which official publicly released documentation, such as a model card, technical paper, or official statements from its developers, clearly identifies diffusion or iterative denoising as a central part of its text-generation or decoding process.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30-Ib2RWR-7MLQg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30-Ib2RWR-7MLQg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0245,0.9755],"probability":0.0245,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-14T20:07:35.618761Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5226.447255,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-36.395554,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.802734375,"liquidity":2291.95889,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:58:09.164750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:03:46.812283Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30/will-xai-release-a-dllm-by-june-30","event_title":"Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.0245,0.0235,0.0245,0.0225,0.0235,0.0245,0.0235,0.024,0.023,0.024,0.0245,0.0235,0.0245,0.0235,0.0235,0.0235,0.024,0.023,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.025,0.0245,0.0235,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/80149","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:18:10.640662Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?\" — top market at 2% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}