{"source":"polymarket","id":"801502","ticker":"federal-appropriations-lapse-on-october-1-20260804220923652","slug":"federal-appropriations-lapse-on-october-1-20260804220923652","title":"Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse. \n\nA lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/govt+shutdown.jpeg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/govt+shutdown.jpeg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T15:31:58.436195Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1118.212856,"volume_24hr":1118.212856,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.85882568359375,"normalized_volume":11.231252670288086,"liquidity":11851.9198,"open_interest":207.73,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"361","slug":"shutdown","label":"shutdown"},{"id":"101542","slug":"gov-shutdown","label":"Gov Shutdown"},{"id":"858","slug":"government-shutdown","label":"government shutdown"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.175,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.28,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1118.212856,"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:58:26.649253Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T12:58:26.649253Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T16:41:06.777420Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/federal-appropriations-lapse-on-october-1-20260804220923652","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,20.0,210.642856,406.642856,455.972856,475.972856,495.972856,495.972856,495.972856,1118.212856,1118.212856,1118.212856,1118.212856,1118.212856],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3360370","event_id":"801502","slug":"federal-appropriations-lapse-on-october-1-20260804220923652","question":"Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse. \n\nA lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/govt+shutdown.jpeg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/govt+shutdown.jpeg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T15:31:58.436195Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1118.212856,"volume_24hr":1118.212856,"prob_24h_change":-0.28,"volume_24h_change":1118.212856,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.0318546295166,"normalized_volume":14.460041999816895,"liquidity":11854.6398,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T12:58:26.708340Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T12:58:26.708340Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T16:41:06.827274Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/federal-appropriations-lapse-on-october-1-20260804220923652/federal-appropriations-lapse-on-october-1-20260804220923652","event_title":"Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.355,0.325,0.315,0.275,0.315,0.135,0.125,0.265,0.265,0.265,0.22,0.185,0.175,0.175]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/801502","as_of":"2026-08-06T13:22:47.093245Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?\" — top market at 18% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}