{"source":"polymarket","id":"80825","ticker":"will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184","slug":"will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184","title":"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nA qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T20:13:57.870835Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29715.74758999999,"volume_24hr":4.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0940858125686646,"normalized_volume":23.281099319458008,"liquidity":5309.3622,"open_interest":522.409546,"categories":["Crypto","Finance","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"105296","slug":"gov-reserve","label":"Gov Reserve"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.515,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:06:11.094291Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:06:11.094291Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184","chart_24h":[58.356550999999996,58.356550999999996,58.356550999999996,58.356550999999996,58.356550999999996,58.356550999999996,58.356550999999996,62.51655099999999,58.946551,58.946551,54.401098000000005,50.234432999999996,50.234432999999996,50.234432999999996,50.234432999999996,50.234432999999996,50.234432999999996,50.234432999999996,50.234432999999996,46.234432999999996,38.234432999999996,38.234432999999996,33.68898,29.341155,25.341155,21.001155,16.834490000000002,12.667825,8.507825,4.16,4.16,4.16,4.16],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"681146","event_id":"80825","slug":"will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-june-30-2026-493","question":"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. 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Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T20:10:54.252000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":464.5498400000001,"volume_24hr":4.16,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":-54.196551,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1187831163406372,"normalized_volume":9.680442810058594,"liquidity":3124.4127,"categories":["Crypto","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:40:48.054361Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:33:34.422375Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-june-30-2026-493","event_title":"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.115,0.125,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.085,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"681147","event_id":"80825","slug":"will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-december-31-2026-135","question":"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. 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Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T20:10:53.997000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22377.97481699999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.732452392578125,"liquidity":2149.5588,"categories":["Crypto","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:08:44.377146Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:06:11.670616Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-december-31-2026-135","event_title":"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51,0.505,0.515,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.515,0.5,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"681145","event_id":"80825","slug":"will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-december-31-2025","question":"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nA qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184-vRSHTnQTMEGS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-13T20:10:53.078000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T19:03:03Z","volume":6873.222933,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.02482795715332,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Crypto","Finance","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-184/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by-december-31-2025","event_title":"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/80825","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:18:30.742180Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?\" — top market at 8% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}