{"source":"polymarket","id":"808751","ticker":"will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern-20260806103954025","slug":"will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern-20260806103954025","title":"Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T00:53:24.303765Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1363.3200000000002,"volume_24hr":1363.3200000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.640789031982422,"normalized_volume":11.873273849487305,"liquidity":25264.51135,"open_interest":1233.36,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100244","slug":"germany","label":"Germany"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104119","slug":"german-elections","label":"German Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"103725","slug":"mecklenburg-vorpommern","label":"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.4605,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1363.3200000000002,"updated_at":"2026-08-08T02:23:00.292511Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T02:23:00.292511Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T01:13:40.869190Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern-20260806103954025","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,118.34,288.34,288.34,1288.3400000000001,1288.3400000000001,1288.3400000000001,1288.3400000000001,1288.3400000000001,1288.3400000000001,1313.3200000000002,1333.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002,1363.3200000000002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3393022","event_id":"808751","slug":"will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern-20260806103954025","question":"Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0445,0.9555],"probability":0.0445,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T00:53:24.303765Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1363.3200000000002,"volume_24hr":1363.3200000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.4605,"volume_24h_change":1363.3200000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.619121551513672,"normalized_volume":15.287323951721191,"liquidity":29024.77054,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T02:24:09.199145Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:03.615049Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T01:13:40.896935Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern-20260806103954025/will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern-20260806103954025","event_title":"Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.495,0.46,0.11,0.04,0.0435,0.0455,0.044,0.0435,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.046,0.05,0.05,0.0445,0.0445]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/808751","as_of":"2026-08-08T02:36:11.779559Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}