{"source":"polymarket","id":"812668","ticker":"south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619","slug":"south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619","title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-carolina-governor-democratic-primary-winner-QsUwq2SIAM1Z.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-carolina-governor-democratic-primary-winner-QsUwq2SIAM1Z.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:48:47.890788Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1205.342726,"volume_24hr":1326.472726,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.2150936126709,"normalized_volume":11.471694946289062,"liquidity":34614.56126,"open_interest":1069.535458,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"105192","slug":"august-11-primaries","label":"August 11 Primaries"},{"id":"1205","slug":"south-carolina-primary","label":"South Carolina Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.438919Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.438919Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.439992Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619","chart_24h":[0.0,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,382.26,462.26,632.26,837.26,842.26,945.23,980.472726,1321.472726,1321.472726,1321.472726,1326.472726],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408659","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-ralph-norman-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-less-than-5-20260807145147625","question":"Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Norman <5%","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ralph-norman-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-202-vya19cVf5RmA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ralph-norman-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-202-vya19cVf5RmA.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:05.738440Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.242726,"volume_24hr":40.242726,"prob_24h_change":-0.15,"volume_24h_change":40.242726,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.160935878753662,"normalized_volume":4.058928966522217,"liquidity":254.2714,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:59.526870Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.746159Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-ralph-norman-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-less-than-5-20260807145147625","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.355,0.365,0.355,0.335,0.2,0.235,0.2,0.21]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408660","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-ralph-norman-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-510-20260807145147626","question":"Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 5%","group_item_title":"Norman 5%+","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ralph-norman-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-202-vya19cVf5RmA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ralph-norman-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-202-vya19cVf5RmA.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:07.617881Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":396.6,"volume_24hr":396.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.24,"volume_24h_change":396.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.954256057739258,"normalized_volume":10.510933876037598,"liquidity":238.4712,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:29:28.970431Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:27:56.216754Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-ralph-norman-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-510-20260807145147626","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.36,0.4,0.405,0.42,0.405,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.225,0.18,0.08,0.065,0.15,0.17,0.185,0.175,0.155,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408657","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-510-20260807145147623","question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Graham Nordone 5–10%","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:02.893430Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":270.0,"volume_24hr":270.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.27499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":270.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.976166725158691,"normalized_volume":9.207735061645508,"liquidity":8276.9979,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:32:54.486178Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:27:56.216754Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-510-20260807145147623","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.36,0.375,0.38,0.365,0.345,0.305,0.3,0.135,0.13,0.085,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408662","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-russell-fry-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-510-20260807145147628","question":"Will Russell Fry win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 5%","group_item_title":"Fry 5%+","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russell-fry-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026-CGZvsvWC4lsR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russell-fry-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026-CGZvsvWC4lsR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:18.991083Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":140.0,"volume_24hr":140.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.27499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":140.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.906269073486328,"normalized_volume":7.185234546661377,"liquidity":8239.0734,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:59.526870Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.746159Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-russell-fry-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-510-20260807145147628","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.355,0.435,0.455,0.465,0.435,0.435,0.47,0.465,0.46,0.4,0.395,0.07,0.08,0.085,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408663","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-mark-sanford-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-20260807145147629","question":"Will Mark Sanford win the SC Republican Senate special primary?","group_item_title":"Sanford wins","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-g-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-3S7L_JNrrzAr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-g-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-3S7L_JNrrzAr.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0555,0.9445],"probability":0.0555,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:21.248495Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":72.5,"volume_24hr":72.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.2995,"volume_24h_change":72.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.223786354064941,"normalized_volume":5.417970180511475,"liquidity":8427.00396,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T13:13:14.603999Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T13:12:30.777616Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-mark-sanford-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-20260807145147629","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.355,0.36,0.37,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.355,0.365,0.36,0.325,0.31,0.0505,0.0555,0.0555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408661","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-russell-fry-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-less-than-5-20260807145147627","question":"Will Russell Fry win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Fry <5%","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russell-fry-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026-CGZvsvWC4lsR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russell-fry-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026-CGZvsvWC4lsR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:16.142797Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":286.0,"volume_24hr":407.13,"prob_24h_change":-0.35500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":407.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.093908309936523,"normalized_volume":9.39726734161377,"liquidity":8373.4181,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:02:01.421174Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:00:58.766024Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-russell-fry-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-less-than-5-20260807145147627","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.405,0.4,0.405,0.395,0.405,0.4,0.395,0.065,0.055,0.06,0.06,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408664","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-20260807145147630","question":"Will another outcome occur in the SC Republican Senate special primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-carolina-governor-democratic-primary-winner-QsUwq2SIAM1Z.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-carolina-governor-democratic-primary-winner-QsUwq2SIAM1Z.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:22.318086Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T22:26:17.436300Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-20260807145147630","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408655","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-1520-20260807145147621","question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Graham Nordone 15–20%","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:58:31.258744Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":161.0733,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:59.526870Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.746159Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-1520-20260807145147621","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.36,0.355,0.365,0.36,0.375,0.32,0.205,0.24,0.29,0.275,0.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408658","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-less-than-5-20260807145147624","question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Graham Nordone <5%","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:49:03.909326Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":169.4847,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:59.526870Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.746159Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-less-than-5-20260807145147624","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.365,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.355,0.365,0.335,0.375,0.2,0.215,0.29,0.295,0.36,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408656","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-1015-20260807145147622","question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Graham Nordone 10–15%","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:48:47.890788Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":173.1197,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:59.526870Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.746159Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-1015-20260807145147622","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.355,0.365,0.36,0.325,0.34,0.19,0.2,0.35,0.315,0.31,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3408654","event_id":"812668","slug":"will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-at-least-20-20260807145147620","question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 20%?","group_item_title":"Graham Nordone 20%+","description":"The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-2026071-NNTTcyLXAb_b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T20:58:19.388563Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":211.0877,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:59.526870Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T14:53:18.746159Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T21:20:50.516302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-special-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260807145147619/will-darline-graham-nordone-win-the-sc-republican-senate-special-primary-by-at-least-20-20260807145147620","event_title":"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.355,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.355,0.36,0.365,0.35,0.33,0.145,0.15,0.165,0.17,0.165]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/812668","as_of":"2026-08-08T15:01:28.759955Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory\" — top market at 5% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}