{"source":"polymarket","id":"816036","ticker":"which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262","slug":"which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262","title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-be-said-during-the-first-episode-of-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-20260616144724553-CCZI1lwbroQf.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-be-said-during-the-first-episode-of-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-20260616144724553-CCZI1lwbroQf.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:34:55.004788Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1660.88,"volume_24hr":1660.88,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.609893798828125,"normalized_volume":12.530675888061523,"liquidity":3151.8064,"open_interest":780.99,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"104678","slug":"show","label":"Show"},{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"286","slug":"celebrities","label":"Celebrities"},{"id":"105523","slug":"house-of-the-dragon","label":"House of the Dragon"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Helaena Targaryen","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.30000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":95.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-08T20:59:54.461823Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T20:59:54.461823Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.233702Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,557.99,1322.25,1645.88,1660.88,1660.88],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421089","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-helaena-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401070","question":"Will Helaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Helaena Targaryen","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.2],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:37:09.094061Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95.0,"volume_24hr":95.0,"prob_24h_change":0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":95.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.315113067626953,"normalized_volume":6.1123151779174805,"liquidity":206.3734,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T21:00:52.348174Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T20:59:54.500746Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-helaena-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401070","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.815,0.815,0.805,0.805,0.8]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421086","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-alicent-hightower-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401067","question":"Will Alicent Hightower die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Alicent Hightower","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:35:04.115149Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":296.0,"volume_24hr":296.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":296.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.495214462280273,"normalized_volume":9.5113525390625,"liquidity":239.4874,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T17:15:51.947547Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T17:13:20.601851Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-alicent-hightower-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401067","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.13,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421088","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-aemond-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401069","question":"Will Aemond Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Aemond Targaryen","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:36:51.200923Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":645.89,"volume_24hr":645.89,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":645.89,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.729719161987305,"normalized_volume":12.289915084838867,"liquidity":770.7439,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T20:08:36.389433Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T20:07:46.491049Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-aemond-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401069","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421085","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-daemon-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401066","question":"Will Daemon Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Daemon Targaryen","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:35:47.969648Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":280.0,"volume_24hr":280.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.405,"volume_24h_change":280.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.214624404907227,"normalized_volume":9.32723617553711,"liquidity":311.0376,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T19:30:42.277861Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T19:30:04.706565Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-daemon-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401066","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.095,0.095,0.1,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421087","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-aegon-ii-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401068","question":"Will Aegon II Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Aegon II Targaryen","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:36:54.070953Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.99,"volume_24hr":21.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.405,"volume_24h_change":21.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.394628047943115,"normalized_volume":2.8836312294006348,"liquidity":261.7537,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T17:15:51.947547Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T17:13:20.601851Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-aegon-ii-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401068","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.09,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421084","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-rhaenyra-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401065","question":"Will Rhaenyra Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Rhaenyra Targaryen","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:34:55.004788Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.44,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.523502349853516,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":297.7932,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T17:15:51.947547Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T17:13:20.601851Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-rhaenyra-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401065","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.085,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421093","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-mysaria-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401074","question":"Will Mysaria die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Mysaria","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:37:00.008250Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":182.0,"volume_24hr":182.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.44,"volume_24h_change":182.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.1344575881958,"normalized_volume":7.962289810180664,"liquidity":201.2033,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T19:00:28.131915Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T18:59:42.251352Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-mysaria-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401074","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.075,0.135,0.075,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421092","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-rhaena-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401073","question":"Will Rhaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Rhaena Targaryen","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:35:24.374930Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.45,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.1661529541015625,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":168.5073,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T18:06:07.397418Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T18:05:47.408913Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-rhaena-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401073","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.065,0.055,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421090","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-corlys-velaryon-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401071","question":"Will Corlys Velaryon die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Corlys Velaryon","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:36:42.871217Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":237.3224,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T17:13:35.601935Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T17:13:20.601851Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-corlys-velaryon-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401071","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.135,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3421091","event_id":"816036","slug":"will-baela-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401072","question":"Will Baela Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","group_item_title":"Baela Targaryen","description":"The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).\n\nIf a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.\n\nIf the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPost-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T15:35:00.245106Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":360.7108,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T17:13:35.601935Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T17:13:20.601851Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T15:45:04.287694Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807203713262/will-baela-targaryen-die-in-the-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-finale-20260807034401072","event_title":"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.11,0.105]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/816036","as_of":"2026-08-08T21:49:12.059996Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?\" — top market at 12% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}