{"source":"polymarket","id":"816185","ticker":"trump-approval-rating-on-august-14-1786098036072","slug":"trump-approval-rating-on-august-14-1786098036072","title":"Trump approval rating on August 14?","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T16:11:53.715438Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2411.905159,"volume_24hr":2411.905159,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.956462860107422,"normalized_volume":13.822314262390137,"liquidity":4019.82705,"open_interest":526.988624,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101697","slug":"approval","label":"Approval"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"103356","slug":"approvals","label":"approvals"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"38.0–38.4","top_outcome_probability":0.315,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":275.35294,"updated_at":"2026-08-09T16:36:40.219835Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T16:36:40.219835Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T16:34:08.322895Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-august-14-1786098036072","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,2.10526,11.679726,11.679726,118.815754,118.815754,1138.765754,1138.765754,1138.765754,1138.765754],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3422098","event_id":"816185","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt0-and-38pt4-on-august-14-2026-1786098036069","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"38.0–38.4","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T16:12:19.551798Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":275.35294,"volume_24hr":275.35294,"prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":275.35294,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.278892517089844,"normalized_volume":9.272146224975586,"liquidity":755.0276,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T16:39:07.320926Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T16:36:40.824555Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T16:34:08.413732Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-august-14-1786098036072/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt0-and-38pt4-on-august-14-2026-1786098036069","event_title":"Trump approval rating on August 14?","chart_24h":[0.365,0.365,0.37,0.375,0.38,0.365,0.385,0.38,0.375,0.365,0.375,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.375,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3422097","event_id":"816185","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt5-and-37pt9-on-august-14-2026-1786098036068","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"37.5–37.9","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.285,0.715],"probability":0.285,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T16:11:55.743979Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":295.347221,"volume_24hr":295.347221,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":295.347221,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.660951614379883,"normalized_volume":9.504002571105957,"liquidity":760.8582,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T16:39:07.320926Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T16:36:40.824555Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T16:34:08.413732Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-august-14-1786098036072/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt5-and-37pt9-on-august-14-2026-1786098036068","event_title":"Trump approval rating on August 14?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.365,0.37,0.375,0.38,0.365,0.38,0.375,0.37,0.38,0.375,0.37,0.375,0.375,0.365,0.375,0.375,0.37,0.375,0.365,0.38,0.315,0.305,0.29]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3422099","event_id":"816185","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt5-and-38pt9-on-august-14-2026-1786098036070","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"38.5–38.9","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T16:11:53.715438Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":628.169206,"volume_24hr":628.169206,"prob_24h_change":-0.155,"volume_24h_change":628.169206,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.078203201293945,"normalized_volume":12.184654235839844,"liquidity":617.9217,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T16:39:07.320926Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T16:36:40.824555Z","added_at":"2026-08-08T16:34:08.413732Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-august-14-1786098036072/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt5-and-38pt9-on-august-14-2026-1786098036070","event_title":"Trump approval rating on August 14?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.365,0.37,0.365,0.38,0.365,0.385,0.38,0.37,0.375,0.38,0.375,0.38,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.38,0.375,0.375,0.38,0.355,0.375,0.155,0.3,0.205,0.21,0.205,0.21]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3422100","event_id":"816185","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-at-least-39pt0-on-august-14-2026-1786098036071","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"39.0+","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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