{"source":"polymarket","id":"828514","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-12-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-12-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T16:07:11Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41030.85218400001,"volume_24hr":41010.85218400002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.63835906982422,"normalized_volume":25.70464515686035,"liquidity":25151.9034,"open_interest":36121.808546,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.425,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":40988.891401000015,"updated_at":"2026-08-11T19:39:43.612077Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T19:39:43.612077Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T16:10:12.264226Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-12-2026","chart_24h":[20.0,20.0,20.0,21.960783,21.960783],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3492555","event_id":"828514","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-12-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T16:07:11Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41030.85218400001,"volume_24hr":41010.85218400002,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":40988.891401000015,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.46559524536133,"normalized_volume":33.103145599365234,"liquidity":25250.0919,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T19:46:51.195611Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T19:39:44.095230Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T16:10:12.475995Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-12-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-12-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/828514","as_of":"2026-08-11T20:10:01.510075Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?\" — top market at 42% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}