{"source":"polymarket","id":"830141","ticker":"grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081","title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/grok-4pt20-released-by-FREAnoCYA7aN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/grok-4pt20-released-by-FREAnoCYA7aN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:27:55.548562Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8369.172449,"volume_24hr":7373.756249,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.470924377441406,"normalized_volume":18.585952758789062,"liquidity":180485.75571,"open_interest":1420.5483490000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"540","slug":"grok","label":"Grok"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"August 12","top_outcome_probability":0.998,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.6930000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":989.62415,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:08:07.264068Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:08:07.264068Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:03.778372Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081","chart_24h":[812.106,812.106,812.106,817.99015,817.99015,817.99015,3242.88015,5896.85015,6381.84415,7700.742249,7373.756249],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501510","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-12-2026-20260810175903083","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 12","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.998,0.002],"probability":0.998,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:27:57.886005Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":989.62415,"volume_24hr":989.62415,"prob_24h_change":0.6930000000000001,"volume_24h_change":989.62415,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.922121047973633,"normalized_volume":13.961650848388672,"liquidity":2327.79463,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:23:50.734977Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:21:25.178119Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-12-2026-20260810175903083","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.305,0.305,0.235,0.9655,0.995,0.9975,0.998]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501524","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-26-2026-20260810175903097","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 26","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:30:28.762663Z","end_date":"2026-08-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":405.0,"volume_24hr":405.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3245,"volume_24h_change":405.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.861302375793457,"normalized_volume":10.584489822387695,"liquidity":35590.05053,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:24:38.563537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:21:25.178119Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-26-2026-20260810175903097","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.325,0.365,0.355,0.365,0.335,0.4,0.415,0.0025,0.0015,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501525","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-27-2026-20260810175903098","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 27","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:30:31.812702Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":413.0,"volume_24hr":413.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3395,"volume_24h_change":413.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.964526176452637,"normalized_volume":10.653372764587402,"liquidity":33521.92146,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:24:38.563537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:21:25.178119Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-27-2026-20260810175903098","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.415,0.37,0.395,0.38,0.365,0.415,0.0025,0.0015,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501526","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-28-2026-20260810175903099","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 28","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:30:54.642093Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":635.0,"volume_24hr":594.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2845,"volume_24h_change":553.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.944164276123047,"normalized_volume":12.2255220413208,"liquidity":1643.90141,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:24:38.563537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:21:25.178119Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-28-2026-20260810175903099","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.285,0.26,0.36,0.35,0.355,0.35,0.0025,0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501527","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-29-2026-20260810175903100","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 29","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:30:55.935345Z","end_date":"2026-08-29T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":293.5802,"volume_24hr":215.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3745,"volume_24h_change":215.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.703372955322266,"normalized_volume":9.484039306640625,"liquidity":1790.33739,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-29-2026-20260810175903100","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.41,0.405,0.355,0.405,0.0055,0.0045,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501528","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-30-2026-20260810175903101","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 30","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:31:22.774467Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":308.57,"volume_24hr":215.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2395,"volume_24h_change":215.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.703372955322266,"normalized_volume":9.650347709655762,"liquidity":34163.7161,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-30-2026-20260810175903101","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.245,0.235,0.24,0.245,0.245,0.205,0.0015,0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501529","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-31-2026-20260810175903102","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:31:37.726466Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1070.990099,"volume_24hr":1029.990099,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":948.9900990000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.165088653564453,"normalized_volume":14.283002853393555,"liquidity":34208.34123,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:24:38.563537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:21:25.178119Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-31-2026-20260810175903102","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.3805,0.388,0.4235,0.4285,0.4245,0.4195,0.006,0.004,0.004,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501530","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-not-released-by-august-31-2026-20260810175903103","question":"Grok 4.6 not released by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Not released by August 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:31:25.602632Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":445.84000000000003,"volume_24hr":445.84000000000003,"prob_24h_change":-0.4345,"volume_24h_change":425.85,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.371559143066406,"normalized_volume":10.924992561340332,"liquidity":33488.10329,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:24:38.563537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:21:25.178119Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-not-released-by-august-31-2026-20260810175903103","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.43,0.38,0.0015,0.0015,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501509","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-or-prior-to-august-11-2026-20260810175903082","question":"Grok 4.6 released on or prior to August 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 11 or earlier","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:27:55.548562Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T06:02:12Z","volume":464.12600000000003,"volume_24hr":240.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-224.12599999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.226295471191406,"normalized_volume":11.069077491760254,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:02.978941Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:08:07.571706Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-or-prior-to-august-11-2026-20260810175903082","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501511","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-13-2026-20260810175903084","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 13","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:27:58.684623Z","end_date":"2026-08-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":127.0,"volume_24hr":127.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.41,"volume_24h_change":127.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.350565910339355,"normalized_volume":6.90709114074707,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-13-2026-20260810175903084","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.445,0.36,0.365,0.34,0.375,0.38,0.075,0.045,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501512","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-14-2026-20260810175903085","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 14","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:28:28.687843Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":367.21400000000006,"volume_24hr":367.214,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":367.214,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.349553108215332,"normalized_volume":10.24299144744873,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-14-2026-20260810175903085","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.455,0.475,0.44,0.475,0.37,0.43,0.04,0.0045,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501513","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-15-2026-20260810175903086","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 15","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:28:52.299620Z","end_date":"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":496.134,"volume_24hr":402.564,"prob_24h_change":-0.3345,"volume_24h_change":370.994,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.829533576965332,"normalized_volume":11.31024169921875,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-15-2026-20260810175903086","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.3345,0.3345,0.333,0.3335,0.333,0.3345,0.0055,0.0045,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501514","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-16-2026-20260810175903087","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 16","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:28:58.057724Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":496.124,"volume_24hr":402.554,"prob_24h_change":-0.304,"volume_24h_change":370.99399999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.829402923583984,"normalized_volume":11.310168266296387,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-16-2026-20260810175903087","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.304,0.3045,0.304,0.304,0.3045,0.0055,0.0005,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501515","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-17-2026-20260810175903088","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 17","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:29:00.067860Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":263.994,"volume_24hr":263.994,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":263.994,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.687997817993164,"normalized_volume":9.134210586547852,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-17-2026-20260810175903088","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.415,0.045,0.0005,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501516","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-18-2026-20260810175903089","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:29:27.597569Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:03Z","volume":117.58,"volume_24hr":74.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.415,"volume_24h_change":30.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.195574760437012,"normalized_volume":6.691166877746582,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:02.978941Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:08:07.571706Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-18-2026-20260810175903089","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.405,0.41,0.405,0.415,0.415,0.045,0.05,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501517","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-19-2026-20260810175903090","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 19","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:29:33.649908Z","end_date":"2026-08-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:00Z","volume":62.0,"volume_24hr":62.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.335,"volume_24h_change":62.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.547015190124512,"normalized_volume":5.036238670349121,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-19-2026-20260810175903090","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.335,0.425,0.345,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.415,0.06,0.05,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501518","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-20-2026-20260810175903091","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:29:30.574667Z","end_date":"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":105.0,"volume_24hr":105.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":105.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.5615816116333,"normalized_volume":6.380589485168457,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:24:38.563537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:21:25.178119Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-20-2026-20260810175903091","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.375,0.375,0.385,0.345,0.39,0.415,0.05,0.14,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501519","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-21-2026-20260810175903092","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 21","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:29:57.450945Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":540.9939999999999,"volume_24hr":480.994,"prob_24h_change":-0.4025,"volume_24h_change":420.994,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.780439376831055,"normalized_volume":11.627191543579102,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:02.978941Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:08:07.571706Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-21-2026-20260810175903092","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.4025,0.414,0.4255,0.427,0.413,0.406,0.4105,0.003,0.0045,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501520","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-22-2026-20260810175903093","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:29:55.123047Z","end_date":"2026-08-22T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":253.564,"volume_24hr":159.994,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":159.994,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.352153778076172,"normalized_volume":9.003212928771973,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-22-2026-20260810175903093","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.41,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.395,0.36,0.0005,0.0005,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501521","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-23-2026-20260810175903094","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 23","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:29:58.527449Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":233.564,"volume_24hr":139.994,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":139.994,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.767190933227539,"normalized_volume":8.73920726776123,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:03.018559Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-23-2026-20260810175903094","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.395,0.405,0.395,0.395,0.405,0.395,0.35,0.0005,0.0005,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501522","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-24-2026-20260810175903095","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 24","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:30:34.814669Z","end_date":"2026-08-24T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":127.0,"volume_24hr":127.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.28,"volume_24h_change":127.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.350565910339355,"normalized_volume":6.90709114074707,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:01:51.310472Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:58:53.068730Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-24-2026-20260810175903095","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.405,0.38,0.355,0.38,0.345,0.415,0.045,0.29,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3501523","event_id":"830141","slug":"grok-4pt6-released-on-august-25-2026-20260810175903096","question":"Grok 4.6 released on August 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 25","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public. \n\nGrok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market).\n\nQualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-11T08:30:30.772360Z","end_date":"2026-08-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-12T17:50:43Z","volume":153.274,"volume_24hr":113.994,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":74.714,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.898458480834961,"normalized_volume":7.4488701820373535,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:02.978941Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:08:07.571706Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:22:04.103253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/grok-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260810175903081/grok-4pt6-released-on-august-25-2026-20260810175903096","event_title":"Grok 4.6 released on...?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.405,0.415,0.0005,0.0005,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/830141","as_of":"2026-08-12T19:27:39.706028Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Grok 4.6 released on...?\" — top market at 0% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}