{"source":"polymarket","id":"833107","ticker":"us-expels-a-brazilian-diplomat-by-september-30","slug":"us-expels-a-brazilian-diplomat-by-september-30","title":"US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/br-flag-brazil-0bcaee3ee2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/br-flag-brazil-0bcaee3ee2.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T12:29:52Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2003.333316,"volume_24hr":150.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.50220012664795,"normalized_volume":13.166403770446777,"liquidity":8894.1245,"open_interest":430.926315,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104481","slug":"ambassador","label":"Ambassador"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-16T16:53:18.602034Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T16:53:18.602034Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:23:30.268803Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-expels-a-brazilian-diplomat-by-september-30","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0,150.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3513153","event_id":"833107","slug":"us-expels-a-brazilian-diplomat-by-september-30","question":"US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/br-flag-brazil-0bcaee3ee2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/br-flag-brazil-0bcaee3ee2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T12:29:52Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2003.333316,"volume_24hr":150.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.665169715881348,"normalized_volume":16.959999084472656,"liquidity":8894.5037,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T16:56:28.232613Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T16:53:18.781951Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T16:23:30.412545Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-expels-a-brazilian-diplomat-by-september-30/us-expels-a-brazilian-diplomat-by-september-30","event_title":"US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.065,0.06,0.065,0.06,0.065,0.06,0.065,0.06,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/833107","as_of":"2026-08-16T17:12:38.098545Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}