{"source":"polymarket","id":"839153","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-14-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-14-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86501.22385900002,"volume_24hr":86481.22385899996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.26706314086914,"normalized_volume":29.438386917114258,"liquidity":23841.7463,"open_interest":32782.343419,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.515,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":86432.14543099997,"updated_at":"2026-08-13T20:15:05.546215Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T20:15:05.546215Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:28:44.503951Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-14-2026","chart_24h":[20.0,20.0,49.078428,55.117642000000004,61.156856,79.156856,79.156856,182.19607000000002,192.19607,231.96077100000005,248.88233800000006,253.88233800000006,253.88233799999998,253.88233800000006,312.69409800000005,351.911938,428.84918700000014,877.910251,12029.447142999998,44190.375997,75402.90440999997,78083.44533299997,86481.22385899996],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3542084","event_id":"839153","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-14-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:07:13Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86501.22385900002,"volume_24hr":86481.22385899996,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":86432.14543099997,"normalized_vol_24hr":54.307029724121094,"normalized_volume":37.91496276855469,"liquidity":25473.686,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T20:20:31.097871Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T20:15:05.991577Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:28:44.773238Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-14-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-14-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.545,0.435,0.405,0.395,0.495,0.515]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/839153","as_of":"2026-08-13T20:42:26.831757Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?\" — top market at 52% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}