{"source":"polymarket","id":"839316","ticker":"turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956","slug":"turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956","title":"Turner Prize 2026 Winner","description":"The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.\n\nIf no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-event-77c0b5546c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-event-77c0b5546c.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:56:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3062.75176,"volume_24hr":2171.75176,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.651546478271484,"normalized_volume":14.67696762084961,"liquidity":3068.3328,"open_interest":1388.889999,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"734","slug":"uk","label":"UK"},{"id":"1422","slug":"art","label":"Art"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Artist A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-17T06:12:40.319653Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T06:12:40.319653Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T17:15:06.516537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956","chart_24h":[891.0,891.0,891.0,891.0,416.0,416.0,416.0,416.0,416.0,114.19,114.19,114.19,114.19,112.0,91.0,91.0,91.0,91.0,292.21175999999997,315.21175999999997,315.21175999999997,315.21175999999997,315.21175999999997,315.21175999999997,315.21175999999997,315.21175999999997,2031.75176,2031.75176,2031.75176,2081.75176,2081.75176,2171.75176],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3543255","event_id":"839316","slug":"will-tanoa-sasraku-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350960","question":"Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?","group_item_title":"Tanoa Sasraku","description":"The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.\n\nIf no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-tanoa-sasraku-0529337230.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-tanoa-sasraku-0529337230.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:56:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1613.0,"volume_24hr":782.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.218544006347656,"normalized_volume":16.007450103759766,"liquidity":552.4567,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T06:15:23.784091Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T04:51:04.608373Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T17:15:06.590572Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956/will-tanoa-sasraku-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350960","event_title":"Turner Prize 2026 Winner","chart_24h":[0.37,0.41,0.36,0.405,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.385,0.39,0.395,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.355,0.36,0.245,0.475,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.285,0.285,0.28,0.28,0.28]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3543254","event_id":"839316","slug":"will-marguerite-humeau-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350959","question":"Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?","group_item_title":"Marguerite Humeau","description":"The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.\n\nIf no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-marguerite-humeau-259dbd0445.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-marguerite-humeau-259dbd0445.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:56:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":590.0,"volume_24hr":570.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":550.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.44029426574707,"normalized_volume":11.949142456054688,"liquidity":777.8504,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T06:15:23.784091Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T03:09:23.687684Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T17:15:06.590572Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956/will-marguerite-humeau-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350959","event_title":"Turner Prize 2026 Winner","chart_24h":[0.315,0.34,0.38,0.315,0.36,0.355,0.4,0.37,0.345,0.335,0.33,0.325,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.295,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.125,0.135,0.13,0.12,0.115,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3543253","event_id":"839316","slug":"will-kira-freije-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350958","question":"Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?","group_item_title":"Kira Freije","description":"The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.\n\nIf no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-kira-freije-e8b0dad1ab.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-kira-freije-e8b0dad1ab.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:56:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":550.31176,"volume_24hr":530.31176,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":510.31176000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.046661376953125,"normalized_volume":11.690242767333984,"liquidity":689.0084,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T05:56:53.271873Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T05:52:57.430687Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T17:15:06.590572Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956/will-kira-freije-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350958","event_title":"Turner Prize 2026 Winner","chart_24h":[0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.145,0.205,0.195,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3543252","event_id":"839316","slug":"will-simeon-barclay-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350957","question":"Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?","group_item_title":"Simeon Barclay","description":"The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.\n\nIf no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-v2-simeon-barclay-8ab0ac5043.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turner-prize-2026-v2-simeon-barclay-8ab0ac5043.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:56:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":309.44,"volume_24hr":289.44,"prob_24h_change":-0.165,"volume_24h_change":269.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.923347473144531,"normalized_volume":9.659793853759766,"liquidity":618.5557,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T06:15:23.784091Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T04:29:52.553444Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T17:15:06.590572Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956/will-simeon-barclay-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350957","event_title":"Turner Prize 2026 Winner","chart_24h":[0.315,0.315,0.385,0.315,0.355,0.34,0.4,0.415,0.4,0.39,0.385,0.4,0.37,0.505,0.485,0.495,0.495,0.215,0.135,0.08,0.075,0.07,0.14,0.125,0.08,0.075,0.145,0.13,0.145,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3543267","event_id":"839316","slug":"will-another-artist-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350972","question":"Will another artist win the Turner Prize 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.\n\nIf no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T22:38:06.090221Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T17:15:06.590572Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T17:15:06.590572Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956/will-another-artist-win-the-turner-prize-2026-1786472350972","event_title":"Turner Prize 2026 Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/839316","as_of":"2026-08-17T06:30:50.901208Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Turner Prize 2026 Winner\" — top market at 28% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}