{"source":"polymarket","id":"841247","ticker":"which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october","slug":"which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october","title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. 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If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259.645553,"volume_24hr":259.64555299999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":259.64555299999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.006324768066406,"normalized_volume":9.080118179321289,"liquidity":216.4216,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842564","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.475,0.44,0.115,0.235,0.15,0.14,0.145,0.14,0.145,0.13,0.23,0.365,0.41,0.415,0.555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554955","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842569","question":"Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":111.0,"volume_24hr":111.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":111.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.356619834899902,"normalized_volume":6.532146453857422,"liquidity":321.0628,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842569","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.385,0.245,0.225,0.22,0.22,0.175,0.135,0.295,0.26,0.23,0.29]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554961","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842575","question":"Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":119.0,"volume_24hr":119.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.415,"volume_24h_change":119.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.632241249084473,"normalized_volume":6.7245659828186035,"liquidity":348.402,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842575","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.475,0.45,0.245,0.175,0.16,0.165,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554958","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-xiaomi-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842572","question":"Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.077,0.923],"probability":0.077,"spread":0.142,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.423,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.636189937591553,"normalized_volume":5.331060886383057,"liquidity":331.95333,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842572","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.465,0.255,0.415,0.135,0.19,0.195,0.15,0.16,0.095,0.045,0.045,0.1695]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554969","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842583","question":"Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0765,0.9235],"probability":0.0765,"spread":0.141,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4185,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.636189937591553,"normalized_volume":5.331060886383057,"liquidity":446.55343,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842583","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.465,0.145,0.245,0.23,0.14,0.145,0.135,0.08,0.045,0.045,0.256]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554952","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842566","question":"Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73.0,"volume_24hr":73.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.42,"volume_24h_change":73.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.785184860229492,"normalized_volume":5.435079097747803,"liquidity":249.9275,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842566","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.46,0.28,0.43,0.245,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.115,0.09,0.075,0.07,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554967","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-meituan-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842581","question":"Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73.0,"volume_24hr":73.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":73.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.785184860229492,"normalized_volume":5.435079097747803,"liquidity":292.8788,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-meituan-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842581","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.455,0.44,0.385,0.21,0.185,0.185,0.195,0.13,0.125,0.12,0.075,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554960","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842574","question":"Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0695,0.9305],"probability":0.0695,"spread":0.119,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4305,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.7955546379089355,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":296.13522,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842574","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.46,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.145,0.15,0.165,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.095,0.085,0.075,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554966","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-mistral-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842580","question":"Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73.0,"volume_24hr":73.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.435,"volume_24h_change":73.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.785184860229492,"normalized_volume":5.435079097747803,"liquidity":309.3535,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-mistral-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842580","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.235,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.095,0.08,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554953","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842567","question":"Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.445,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.7955546379089355,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":274.673,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842567","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.46,0.445,0.24,0.225,0.22,0.23,0.195,0.175,0.095,0.1,0.09,0.085,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554964","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-thinky-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842578","question":"Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Thinky","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0465,0.9535],"probability":0.0465,"spread":0.087,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":93.0,"volume_24hr":93.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4485,"volume_24h_change":93.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.674673080444336,"normalized_volume":6.056057929992676,"liquidity":262.9525,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-thinky-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842578","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.445,0.42,0.235,0.13,0.13,0.135,0.135,0.1,0.085,0.08,0.05,0.0465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554965","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842579","question":"Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0465,0.9535],"probability":0.0465,"spread":0.087,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":93.0,"volume_24hr":93.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4485,"volume_24h_change":93.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.674673080444336,"normalized_volume":6.056057929992676,"liquidity":352.74952,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842579","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.45,0.26,0.215,0.125,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.085,0.085,0.05,0.046]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554956","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842570","question":"Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":126.5,"volume_24hr":126.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.455,"volume_24h_change":126.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.877734184265137,"normalized_volume":6.8959527015686035,"liquidity":274.35772,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842570","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.465,0.165,0.28,0.185,0.195,0.195,0.14,0.12,0.075,0.05,0.045,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554962","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842576","question":"Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":130.67000000000002,"volume_24hr":130.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.4595,"volume_24h_change":130.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.009308815002441,"normalized_volume":6.987808704376221,"liquidity":273.48478,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842576","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.44,0.455,0.15,0.145,0.105,0.04,0.04,0.0405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554968","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-tencent-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842582","question":"Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":130.67000000000002,"volume_24hr":130.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.4295,"volume_24h_change":130.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.009308815002441,"normalized_volume":6.987808704376221,"liquidity":322.19925,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-tencent-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842582","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.46,0.465,0.28,0.415,0.24,0.235,0.145,0.125,0.04,0.04,0.0405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554957","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-zptai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842571","question":"Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0335,0.9665],"probability":0.0335,"spread":0.053,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4665,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.101982116699219,"normalized_volume":4.958113670349121,"liquidity":302.89954,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-zptai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842571","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.475,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.155,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.045,0.045,0.0315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554959","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-spacexai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842573","question":"Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0315,0.9685],"probability":0.0315,"spread":0.057,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4635,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.101982116699219,"normalized_volume":4.958113670349121,"liquidity":286.30395,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-spacexai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842573","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.465,0.435,0.395,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.155,0.09,0.045,0.045,0.0315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554963","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842577","question":"Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Nvidia","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":126.5,"volume_24hr":126.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.475,"volume_24h_change":126.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.877734184265137,"normalized_volume":6.8959527015686035,"liquidity":383.67453,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842577","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.48,0.42,0.265,0.24,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.135,0.09,0.065,0.045,0.0355,0.0305,0.025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554970","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-microsoft-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842584","question":"Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0235,0.9765],"probability":0.0235,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":104.0,"volume_24hr":104.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4765,"volume_24h_change":104.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.102415084838867,"normalized_volume":6.354678153991699,"liquidity":270.38316,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-microsoft-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842584","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.485,0.45,0.405,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.155,0.12,0.125,0.095,0.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554951","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842565","question":"Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.016,0.984],"probability":0.016,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":81.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.479,"volume_24h_change":81.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.160974502563477,"normalized_volume":5.697429656982422,"liquidity":252.52077,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:15:25.500517Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:13:02.327082Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842565","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.185,0.245,0.25,0.17,0.175,0.1,0.105,0.085,0.065,0.016]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554954","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842568","question":"Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T00:05:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":81.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.489,"volume_24h_change":81.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.160974502563477,"normalized_volume":5.697429656982422,"liquidity":304.38664,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:59.841893Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T13:42:10.829582Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842568","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.47,0.465,0.44,0.41,0.17,0.235,0.225,0.2,0.205,0.16,0.13,0.105,0.07,0.0105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3554981","event_id":"841247","slug":"will-any-other-company-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842595","question":"Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T01:06:54.430636Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T00:34:14.631866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/will-any-other-company-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842595","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/841247","as_of":"2026-08-13T13:46:41.671248Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?\" — top market at 49% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}