{"source":"polymarket","id":"842914","ticker":"canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31-20260812173815700","slug":"canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31-20260812173815700","title":"Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-flag-ca-flag-canada-3ff936203e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-flag-ca-flag-canada-3ff936203e.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T09:03:17Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96.162482,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.7701802253723145,"liquidity":400.7918,"open_interest":96.162481,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"245","slug":"canada","label":"Canada"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104481","slug":"ambassador","label":"Ambassador"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.06,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-16T15:42:42.766224Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T15:42:42.766224Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T09:30:22.105371Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31-20260812173815700","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3561654","event_id":"842914","slug":"canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31-20260812173815700","question":"Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-flag-ca-flag-canada-3ff936203e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-flag-ca-flag-canada-3ff936203e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T09:03:17Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96.162482,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.144594669342041,"liquidity":403.7077,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T13:27:58.667399Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T11:54:54.759197Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T09:30:22.168819Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31-20260812173815700/canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31-20260812173815700","event_title":"Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.065,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/842914","as_of":"2026-08-16T15:45:42.687448Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}