{"source":"polymarket","id":"844193","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-15-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-15-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T16:07:11Z","end_date":"2026-08-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":113402.22437300002,"volume_24hr":113331.24398399986,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.158199310302734,"normalized_volume":30.854631423950195,"liquidity":24788.5742,"open_interest":43570.850683,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.06,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":113239.18516699986,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:03:56.835100Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:03:56.835100Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T16:17:40.262969Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-15-2026","chart_24h":[70.980389,70.980389,70.980389,70.980389,70.980389,70.980389,70.980389,92.058817,104.098031,130.137245,135.137245,135.137245,536.862734,536.862734,536.862734,585.872734,585.872734,593.71587,996.98587,996.98587,999.069202,5192.331021999999,8685.153373000001,57695.81791800001,60013.590908000006,63748.48089400001,80857.405199,108128.12809800018,111900.13698999987],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3565496","event_id":"844193","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-15-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T16:07:11Z","end_date":"2026-08-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":113416.91828500005,"volume_24hr":113331.24398399986,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":113239.18516699986,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.84079360961914,"normalized_volume":39.74359893798828,"liquidity":24740.5291,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:09:25.311219Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:03:57.208351Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T16:17:40.351697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-15-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-15-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.525,0.525,0.535,0.525,0.505,0.515,0.595,0.675,0.58,0.445,0.44,0.505,0.445]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/844193","as_of":"2026-08-14T21:14:48.059249Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?\" — top market at 44% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}