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Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-12-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154.757733,"volume_24hr":150.712797,"prob_24h_change":0.17000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":150.712797,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.391470909118652,"normalized_volume":7.47719669342041,"liquidity":450.3682,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:12:07.463534Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:12:07.463534Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-august-31-and-september-6-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.355,0.38,0.38,0.345,0.285,0.215,0.185,0.265,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.235,0.23,0.275,0.25,0.245,0.34,0.335,0.335,0.305,0.255,0.185,0.375,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591683","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-september-7-and-september-13-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 7–13","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. 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Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.734575,"volume_24hr":65.734575,"prob_24h_change":-0.014999999999999986,"volume_24h_change":65.734575,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.970331192016602,"normalized_volume":5.177216529846191,"liquidity":1287.0916,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-october-26-and-november-1-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.185,0.175,0.18,0.16,0.05,0.15,0.145,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.175,0.17,0.155,0.165,0.175,0.055,0.175,0.065,0.05,0.095,0.095,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591684","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-september-14-and-september-20-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 14–20","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. 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Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":128.418353,"volume_24hr":128.418353,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":128.418353,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.681832313537598,"normalized_volume":6.938501834869385,"liquidity":607.5794,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-september-14-and-september-20-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.405,0.425,0.405,0.41,0.425,0.145,0.32,0.255,0.23,0.155,0.23,0.19,0.195,0.205,0.245,0.27,0.205,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.245,0.26,0.235,0.175,0.175,0.2,0.195,0.2,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591685","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-september-21-and-september-27-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 21–27","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. 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Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":328.861506,"volume_24hr":328.861506,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":328.861506,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.187471389770508,"normalized_volume":9.865189552307129,"liquidity":1789.4572,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-september-21-and-september-27-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.335,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.235,0.255,0.245,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.095,0.075,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591686","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-september-28-and-october-4-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 28–October 4","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. 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Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":268.302313,"volume_24hr":268.30231299999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.10500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":268.30231299999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.143535614013672,"normalized_volume":9.187088966369629,"liquidity":578.2812,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T23:52:00.404657Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T23:52:00.404657Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-september-28-and-october-4-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.165,0.16,0.15,0.145,0.145,0.135,0.125,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591687","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-october-5-and-october-11-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 5–11","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":530.9911,"volume_24hr":530.9911,"prob_24h_change":-0.095,"volume_24h_change":530.9911,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.79429817199707,"normalized_volume":11.55848217010498,"liquidity":1385.4035,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-october-5-and-october-11-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.105,0.11,0.105,0.19,0.1,0.105,0.195,0.08,0.155,0.085,0.18,0.165,0.065,0.13,0.135,0.1,0.09,0.125,0.13,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591691","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-not-be-released-by-november-1-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model not be released by November 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Not released by November 1","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.057,0.943],"probability":0.057,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":747.072193,"volume_24hr":747.072193,"prob_24h_change":-0.203,"volume_24h_change":747.072193,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.7795352935791,"normalized_volume":12.848014831542969,"liquidity":1295.16594,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-not-be-released-by-november-1-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.095,0.255,0.09,0.095,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.055,0.04,0.04,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591689","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-october-19-and-october-25-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 19–25","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":505.054575,"volume_24hr":505.054575,"prob_24h_change":-0.12499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":505.054575,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.512025833129883,"normalized_volume":11.375129699707031,"liquidity":1309.5874,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:31:03.191726Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-october-19-and-october-25-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.165,0.165,0.06,0.055,0.155,0.145,0.15,0.155,0.165,0.16,0.165,0.165,0.16,0.165,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.08,0.085,0.05,0.05,0.055,0.05,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591688","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-october-12-and-october-18-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 12–18","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":312.85589999999996,"volume_24hr":312.85589999999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.1525,"volume_24h_change":312.85589999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.928043365478516,"normalized_volume":9.696675300598145,"liquidity":861.42729,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T22:42:55.559217Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T22:42:55.559217Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-between-october-12-and-october-18-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.155,0.155,0.065,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.045,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.059,0.08,0.059,0.054,0.0355,0.016,0.0025,0.006,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3591681","event_id":"850546","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-before-august-31-2026","question":"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released before August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before August 31","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases \"Astra\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-14T20:43:29Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-31T06:02:30Z","volume":184.096,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.997140407562256,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:03:10.128560Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T05:25:15.107749Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:58.718439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-week-will-openai-release-astra/will-openais-astra-model-be-released-before-august-31-2026","event_title":"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/850546","as_of":"2026-09-02T00:47:09.580178Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which week will OpenAI release Astra?\" — top market at 6% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}