{"source":"polymarket","id":"850751","ticker":"fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory","slug":"fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory","title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/republican-nominee-for-florida-governor-OyTOWSxxs5Q-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/republican-nominee-for-florida-governor-OyTOWSxxs5Q-.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":106.38,"volume_24hr":106.38,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.390027046203613,"normalized_volume":4.981131076812744,"liquidity":1140.6954,"open_interest":106.379999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100346","slug":"florida","label":"Florida"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"104015","slug":"florida-midterm","label":"Florida Midterm"},{"id":"103939","slug":"florida-primary","label":"Florida Primary"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"105207","slug":"august-18-primaries","label":"August 18 Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:36.126354Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:36.126354Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.728186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,106.38,106.38,106.38,106.38,106.38],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592189","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-at-least-25","question":"Will Cory Mills win the FL-07 Republican primary by at least 25%?","group_item_title":"Mills 25%+","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.17,"volume_24hr":49.17,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":49.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.112710952758789,"normalized_volume":4.497842788696289,"liquidity":130.6262,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:56.000939Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:36.226411Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-at-least-25","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.225,0.395,0.31,0.375,0.375,0.365,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592200","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-at-least-25","question":"Will Ryan Elijah win the FL-07 Republican primary by at least 25%?","group_item_title":"Elijah 25%+","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57.21,"volume_24hr":57.21,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":57.21,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.662997245788574,"normalized_volume":4.845826148986816,"liquidity":97.4789,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:56.000939Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:36.226411Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-at-least-25","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.225,0.395,0.345,0.305,0.37,0.365,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592201","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-fl-07-republican-primary","question":"Will another outcome occur in the FL-07 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T01:33:15.736456Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-fl-07-republican-primary","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592190","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-2025","question":"Will Cory Mills win the FL-07 Republican primary by 20–25%?","group_item_title":"Mills 20–25%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":89.4065,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:48:07.486373Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:47:46.916744Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-2025","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.225,0.395,0.395,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592191","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1520","question":"Will Cory Mills win the FL-07 Republican primary by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Mills 15–20%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":95.2817,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:48:07.486373Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:47:46.916744Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1520","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.245,0.225,0.395,0.395,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592192","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1015","question":"Will Cory Mills win the FL-07 Republican primary by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Mills 10–15%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":96.9809,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:48:07.486373Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:47:46.916744Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1015","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.225,0.395,0.395,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592193","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-510","question":"Will Cory Mills win the FL-07 Republican primary by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Mills 5–10%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":89.4801,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:48:07.486373Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:47:46.916744Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-510","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.2,0.375,0.395,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592194","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-less-than-5","question":"Will Cory Mills win the FL-07 Republican primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Mills <5%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cory-mills-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847814-xQjCzBRgyKg1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":90.7146,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:48:07.486373Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:47:46.916744Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-cory-mills-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-less-than-5","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.2,0.39,0.395,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592196","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-510","question":"Will Ryan Elijah win the FL-07 Republican primary by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Elijah 5–10%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":90.402,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:56.000939Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:36.226411Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-510","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.205,0.395,0.395,0.39,0.395,0.39,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592198","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1520","question":"Will Ryan Elijah win the FL-07 Republican primary by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Elijah 15–20%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":90.3159,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T05:08:20.803216Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T05:08:02.931493Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1520","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.2,0.39,0.395,0.395,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592199","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-2025","question":"Will Ryan Elijah win the FL-07 Republican primary by 20–25%?","group_item_title":"Elijah 20–25%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":84.0935,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T05:29:52.138989Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T05:29:35.777403Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-2025","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.2,0.39,0.395,0.395,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592197","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1015","question":"Will Ryan Elijah win the FL-07 Republican primary by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Elijah 10–15%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":101.0319,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:48:07.486373Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:47:46.916744Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-1015","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.225,0.39,0.39,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592195","event_id":"850751","slug":"will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-less-than-5","question":"Will Ryan Elijah win the FL-07 Republican primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Elijah <5%","description":"Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ryan-elijah-be-the-fl-07-republican-nominee-20260717204847812-ssZvvcZAdD2d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:48:41Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":97.1513,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:56.000939Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T05:51:36.226411Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/will-ryan-elijah-win-the-fl-07-republican-primary-by-less-than-5","event_title":"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.44,0.115,0.22,0.38,0.375,0.365]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/850751","as_of":"2026-08-15T06:09:45.009287Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory\" — top market at 36% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}