{"source":"polymarket","id":"850784","ticker":"next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-byptptpt","slug":"next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-byptptpt","title":"Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Qwen\" and \"Flash,\" be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Flash or Qwen3.7-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include \"Flash\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Flash, Qwen3.7-Plus, or Qwen3.8-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:55:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":575.48,"volume_24hr":575.48,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.451486587524414,"normalized_volume":9.204522132873535,"liquidity":249.4935,"open_interest":270.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"106106","slug":"qwen","label":"Qwen"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"102729","slug":"alibaba","label":"Alibaba"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 31","top_outcome_probability":0.81,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.31000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":410.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-15T19:19:48.995731Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T19:19:48.995731Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.728186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,40.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,70.0,70.0,70.0,70.0,430.0,430.0,430.0,430.0,530.0,530.0,536.0,575.48,575.48,575.48],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592243","event_id":"850784","slug":"next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-by-october-31-2026","question":"Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Qwen\" and \"Flash,\" be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Flash or Qwen3.7-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include \"Flash\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Flash, Qwen3.7-Plus, or Qwen3.8-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.19],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.26,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:55:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":410.0,"volume_24hr":410.0,"prob_24h_change":0.31000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":410.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.72905158996582,"normalized_volume":10.627673149108887,"liquidity":129.5048,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T19:20:56.996985Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T19:19:49.177542Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-byptptpt/next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-by-october-31-2026","event_title":"Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.585,0.61,0.46,0.67,0.665,0.895,0.775,0.81,0.815,0.83,0.825,0.785,0.765,0.825,0.815,0.81]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3592242","event_id":"850784","slug":"next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-by-september-30-2026","question":"Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Qwen\" and \"Flash,\" be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Flash or Qwen3.7-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include \"Flash\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Flash, Qwen3.7-Plus, or Qwen3.8-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T21:55:17Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":165.48000000000002,"volume_24hr":165.48,"prob_24h_change":-0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":165.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.08234977722168,"normalized_volume":7.6757049560546875,"liquidity":120.4069,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T19:20:56.996985Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T19:19:49.177542Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T22:38:11.810514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-byptptpt/next-alibaba-qwen-flash-3pt8-released-by-september-30-2026","event_title":"Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.375,0.38,0.2,0.195,0.21,0.285,0.285,0.29]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/850784","as_of":"2026-08-15T19:35:26.334282Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?\" — top market at 81% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}