{"source":"polymarket","id":"856059","ticker":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29","title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Kai Asakura\" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Aoriqileng\" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:29Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7250.656854,"volume_24hr":6795.324629999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.616859436035156,"normalized_volume":17.985210418701172,"liquidity":43501.2399,"open_interest":787.409354,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6764.824629999999,"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:26:07.547817Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:26:07.547817Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.327282Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29","chart_24h":[2.5,2.5,2.5,2.5,30.5,30.5,39.547618,39.547618,40.797618,40.797618,40.797618,40.797618,40.797618,40.797618,40.797618,64.60714,86.32142400000001,88.82142400000001,88.82142400000001,91.083327,3185.633323,3185.633323,6275.173323,6275.173322999999,6522.744274,6542.254629999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617722","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29","question":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","group_item_title":"Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng","description":"This market will resolve to \"Kai Asakura\" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Aoriqileng\" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Kai Asakura","Aoriqileng"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.2],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:29Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7250.656854,"volume_24hr":6795.324629999999,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":6764.824629999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.75238037109375,"normalized_volume":23.18208885192871,"liquidity":19885.3775,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:34:58.629515Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:26:07.762607Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.785,0.785,0.81,0.805,0.795,0.795]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617734","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:31Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999893,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1788.3097,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:33:30.457545Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:26:07.762607Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.685,0.69,0.695,0.695,0.69,0.695,0.695,0.695,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.695]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617726","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.675,0.325],"probability":0.675,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:31Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2229.6677,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:05:36.858848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T19:59:15.840122Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.64,0.65,0.66,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.66,0.66,0.655,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.665,0.68,0.675]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617728","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-asakura-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Kai Asakura win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Asakura to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kai Asakura defeats Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.615,0.385],"probability":0.615,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:31Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2878.8608,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:33:30.457545Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:26:07.762607Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-asakura-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.6,0.6,0.615,0.605,0.615,0.615,0.61]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617736","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.46],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:32Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2409.3299,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:05:36.858848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T14:13:17.564923Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.535,0.535,0.54,0.535,0.54,0.535,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617739","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:32Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":5964.4489,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T18:48:41.835048Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T10:17:54.725889Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617731","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-aoriqileng-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Aoriqileng win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Aoriqileng to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Aoriqileng defeats Kai Asakura at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:32Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1589.26,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:33:30.457545Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:26:07.762607Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-aoriqileng-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.255,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.265,0.27,0.265,0.265,0.265,0.27]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617733","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:32Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1608.6619,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T02:45:03.497647Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T02:38:03.264249Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.27,0.26,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3617725","event_id":"856059","slug":"ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T22:00:32Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2798.0688,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:33:30.457545Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:26:07.762607Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T22:19:41.421283Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.265,0.26,0.265,0.26,0.265,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.265,0.265,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.28,0.245,0.24]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/856059","as_of":"2026-08-26T20:39:07.476861Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)\" — top market at 80% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}