{"source":"polymarket","id":"859894","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-18-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-18-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-16T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":194194.381996,"volume_24hr":194617.00838900002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.571189880371094,"normalized_volume":33.767337799072266,"liquidity":29962.8461,"open_interest":39633.533531,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.625,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.125,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":194540.14565000002,"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:37:45.421996Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:37:45.421996Z","added_at":"2026-08-16T16:09:07.499009Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-18-2026","chart_24h":[76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,76.862739,99.901953,105.980381,117.058809,138.198023,141.298023,141.298023,141.298023,141.298023,141.298023,141.298023,141.298023,203.039198,206.960765,1899.047566,50383.591635,121946.453817,125164.37938700002,130813.90753900002,189947.27818800003,194617.00838900002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3636336","event_id":"859894","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-18-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.625,0.375],"probability":0.625,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-16T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":194194.381996,"volume_24hr":194617.00838900002,"prob_24h_change":0.125,"volume_24h_change":194540.14565000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":68.03475189208984,"normalized_volume":43.50124740600586,"liquidity":28826.8147,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:41:37.323449Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:37:45.586087Z","added_at":"2026-08-16T16:09:07.599995Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-18-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-18-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.485,0.465,0.485,0.665,0.625,0.635,0.625]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/859894","as_of":"2026-08-17T20:53:27.445810Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?\" — top market at 62% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}