{"source":"polymarket","id":"864461","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo","title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-hertz-dias-828f675695.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-hertz-dias-828f675695.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:27:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":396.32,"volume_24hr":396.32,"prob_24h_change":-0.427,"volume_24h_change":396.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.78363609313965,"normalized_volume":10.50846004486084,"liquidity":10818.70694,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T06:58:21.277227Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T06:56:57.530102Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:33:25.754032Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo/will-hertz-dias-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.405,0.395,0.395,0.38,0.375,0.335,0.28,0.325,0.215,0.185,0.21,0.185,0.225,0.24,0.205,0.21,0.045,0.022,0.022,0.0135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663288","event_id":"864461","slug":"will-renan-santos-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","question":"Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?","group_item_title":"Renan Santos","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-ronaldo-caiado-000255ba0a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-ronaldo-caiado-000255ba0a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:27:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":303.52,"volume_24hr":303.52,"prob_24h_change":-0.487,"volume_24h_change":303.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.324821472167969,"normalized_volume":9.595075607299805,"liquidity":10647.02944,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T06:58:21.277227Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T06:56:57.530102Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:33:25.754032Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo/will-ronaldo-caiado-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo","chart_24h":[0.5,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.335,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.34,0.185,0.19,0.185,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.235,0.23,0.21,0.0345,0.0205,0.0135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663291","event_id":"864461","slug":"will-samara-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","question":"Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?","group_item_title":"Samara","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-samara-df2fce129a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-samara-df2fce129a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:27:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":344.52,"volume_24hr":344.52,"prob_24h_change":-0.487,"volume_24h_change":344.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.00927734375,"normalized_volume":10.0236234664917,"liquidity":10226.97521,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T06:33:13.276149Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T06:31:43.254743Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:33:25.754032Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo/will-samara-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo","chart_24h":[0.5,0.44,0.44,0.415,0.435,0.345,0.35,0.285,0.045,0.045,0.205,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.225,0.21,0.03,0.021,0.021,0.013]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663293","event_id":"864461","slug":"will-zema-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","question":"Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?","group_item_title":"Zema","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-zema-6d5c170b72.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-zema-6d5c170b72.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:27:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":364.563475,"volume_24hr":364.563475,"prob_24h_change":-0.427,"volume_24h_change":364.563475,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.31966209411621,"normalized_volume":10.2179594039917,"liquidity":10470.89684,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T06:33:13.276149Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T06:31:43.254743Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:33:25.754032Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo/will-zema-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.405,0.385,0.265,0.375,0.375,0.34,0.18,0.22,0.165,0.075,0.08,0.08,0.055,0.023,0.0235,0.023,0.0225,0.013]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663287","event_id":"864461","slug":"will-pablo-marcal-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","question":"Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?","group_item_title":"Pablo Marçal","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-pablo-marcal-e40c00c732.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-pablo-marcal-e40c00c732.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0065,0.9935],"probability":0.0065,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:27:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":303.52,"volume_24hr":303.52,"prob_24h_change":-0.4935,"volume_24h_change":303.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.324821472167969,"normalized_volume":9.595075607299805,"liquidity":9513.65675,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T06:10:37.133820Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T06:07:30.572028Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:33:25.754032Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo/will-pablo-marcal-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo","chart_24h":[0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.395,0.34,0.335,0.21,0.285,0.37,0.34,0.185,0.215,0.185,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.165,0.23,0.205,0.03,0.0115,0.0105,0.0065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663320","event_id":"864461","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","question":"Will someone else win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brsen-flag-es-a0234d99dc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brsen-flag-es-a0234d99dc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T10:55:37.383126Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T10:33:25.754032Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:33:25.754032Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-espirito-santo/will-someone-else-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-espirito-santo","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/864461","as_of":"2026-08-18T07:24:12.662366Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo\" — top market at 72% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}