{"source":"polymarket","id":"864487","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-parana","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-parana","title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-hertz-dias-828f675695.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-hertz-dias-828f675695.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.009,0.991],"probability":0.009,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:34:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":228.396615,"volume_24hr":228.396615,"prob_24h_change":-0.431,"volume_24h_change":228.396615,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.551695823669434,"normalized_volume":8.668013572692871,"liquidity":11256.6761,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:39:27.811942Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:38:35.981891Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:54:21.122068Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-parana/will-hertz-dias-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.441,0.161,0.1605,0.1605,0.021,0.009,0.012,0.0085,0.009,0.009]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663723","event_id":"864487","slug":"will-zema-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","question":"Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?","group_item_title":"Zema","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-rui-costa-pimenta-628039391c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-rui-costa-pimenta-628039391c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.993],"probability":0.007,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:34:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":176.32865,"volume_24hr":176.32864999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.433,"volume_24h_change":176.32864999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.298357963562012,"normalized_volume":7.866346836090088,"liquidity":14544.12189,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:39:27.811942Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:38:35.981891Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:54:21.122068Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-parana/will-rui-costa-pimenta-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.17,0.325,0.09,0.0295,0.015,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.015,0.007,0.007]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663719","event_id":"864487","slug":"will-ronaldo-caiado-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","question":"Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?","group_item_title":"Ronaldo Caiado","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-samara-df2fce129a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-samara-df2fce129a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:34:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":240.0,"volume_24hr":240.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.066,"volume_24h_change":240.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.798864364624023,"normalized_volume":8.826108932495117,"liquidity":10184.2867,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:41:37.323449Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:38:35.981891Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:54:21.122068Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-parana/will-samara-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná","chart_24h":[0.07,0.445,0.415,0.41,0.0445,0.0395,0.036,0.0225,0.0145,0.023,0.005,0.0035,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663722","event_id":"864487","slug":"will-veterinario-wilson-grassi-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","question":"Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?","group_item_title":"Veterinário Wilson Grassi","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-veterinario-wilson-grassi-2d558ffbec.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brpres-veterinario-wilson-grassi-2d558ffbec.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T10:34:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151.66660000000002,"volume_24hr":151.66660000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.437,"volume_24h_change":151.66660000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.597305297851562,"normalized_volume":7.417935371398926,"liquidity":10592.09636,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:38:35.981891Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:38:35.981891Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:54:21.122068Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-parana/will-veterinario-wilson-grassi-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.045,0.1345,0.076,0.0775,0.0255,0.077,0.0035,0.0035,0.003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3663750","event_id":"864487","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","question":"Will someone else win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brsen-flag-pr-0ff58a4a9a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brsen-flag-pr-0ff58a4a9a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T11:35:37.360149Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T10:54:21.122068Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T10:54:21.122068Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-parana/will-someone-else-win-the-most-votes-in-the-next-brazil-presidential-election-from-parana","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/864487","as_of":"2026-08-17T20:57:15.585721Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná\" — top market at 93% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}