{"source":"polymarket","id":"86472","ticker":"russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay","slug":"russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay","title":"Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire\n- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO\n- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay-mMBwZ2hA8ndT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay-mMBwZ2hA8ndT.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-24T17:22:53.172073Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":532982.2150709995,"volume_24hr":5632.05,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.63977813720703,"normalized_volume":36.47857666015625,"liquidity":19544.2014,"open_interest":167668.404752,"categories":["Sports","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"561","slug":"peace","label":"peace"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"270","slug":"putin","label":"putin"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"216","slug":"zelenskyy","label":"zelenskyy"},{"id":"101337","slug":"parlays","label":"Parlays"},{"id":"103027","slug":"ukraine-peace-deal","label":"Ukraine Peace Deal"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.155,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5511.53,"updated_at":"2026-06-24T14:03:59.582490Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T14:03:59.582490Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay","chart_24h":[116.77,116.77,120.52,120.52,120.52,120.52,120.52,120.52,120.52,120.52,120.52,120.52,133.42,139.87,139.87,139.87,139.87,139.87,146.32000000000002,146.32000000000002,98.55000000000001,98.55000000000001,5688.55,5688.55,5688.55,5688.55,5688.55,5701.05,5632.05,5632.05,5632.05,5632.05,5632.05,5632.05],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"694027","event_id":"86472","slug":"russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay","question":"Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire\n- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO\n- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay-mMBwZ2hA8ndT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay-mMBwZ2hA8ndT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-24T17:22:53.172073Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":532982.2150709995,"volume_24hr":5632.05,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":5511.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.046199798583984,"normalized_volume":48.197078704833984,"liquidity":15743.4894,"categories":["Sports","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T10:25:12.660188Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T10:21:54.991966Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay","event_title":"Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay","chart_24h":[0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/86472","as_of":"2026-06-24T14:14:25.026375Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay\" — top market at 16% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}