{"source":"polymarket","id":"868080","ticker":"when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068","slug":"when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068","title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":142.0,"volume_24hr":142.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.17888069152832,"normalized_volume":5.609091281890869,"liquidity":1474.6004,"open_interest":71.53,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1410","slug":"gemini","label":"Gemini"},{"id":"663","slug":"google","label":"google"},{"id":"104960","slug":"gemini-pro","label":"Gemini Pro"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Prior to August 31","top_outcome_probability":0.23,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.27,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.250955Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.250955Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.303688Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068","chart_24h":[0.0,8.0,31.0,31.0,31.0,39.0,47.0,47.0,47.0,55.0,55.0,121.0,142.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685358","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-prior-to-august-31-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released prior to August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Prior to August 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":125.0236,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-prior-to-august-31-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.38,0.35,0.335,0.38,0.205,0.24,0.245,0.23,0.255,0.255,0.2,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685385","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-there-be-no-next-google-gemini-pro-model-release-by-november-1-2026","question":"Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"No release by November 1","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.33,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61.0,"volume_24hr":61.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.275,"volume_24h_change":61.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.073784828186035,"normalized_volume":4.997415065765381,"liquidity":135.2715,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-there-be-no-next-google-gemini-pro-model-release-by-november-1-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.57,0.58,0.575,0.215,0.55,0.555,0.56,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685371","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-28-and-october-4-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 28–October 4","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.28500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":118.6243,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-28-and-october-4-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.405,0.385,0.375,0.405,0.215,0.22,0.225,0.23,0.255,0.255,0.205,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685373","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-5-and-october-11-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 5–October 11","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.28500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":134.6534,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-5-and-october-11-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.405,0.41,0.38,0.405,0.215,0.22,0.225,0.23,0.255,0.255,0.18,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685378","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-19-and-october-25-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 19–October 25","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.28500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":130.3665,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-19-and-october-25-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.405,0.375,0.365,0.41,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685360","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-august-31-and-september-6-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31–September 6","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.29000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":139.7175,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-august-31-and-september-6-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.23,0.225,0.23,0.235,0.235,0.165,0.21]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685363","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-7-and-september-13-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 7–September 13","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27.0,"volume_24hr":27.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.29500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":27.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.263119697570801,"normalized_volume":3.2577030658721924,"liquidity":140.9132,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T08:37:03.389541Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T08:34:49.389740Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-7-and-september-13-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.44,0.435,0.425,0.44,0.22,0.24,0.235,0.245,0.265,0.27,0.205,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685368","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-21-and-september-27-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 21–September 27","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.29500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":129.4249,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-21-and-september-27-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.44,0.41,0.415,0.435,0.23,0.225,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.175,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685376","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-12-and-october-18-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 12–October 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.29500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":134.6345,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-12-and-october-18-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.405,0.39,0.395,0.405,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.22,0.22,0.205,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685380","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-26-and-november-1-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 26–November 1","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.29500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":135.8241,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-october-26-and-november-1-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.405,0.37,0.355,0.405,0.215,0.22,0.225,0.23,0.255,0.255,0.165,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3685364","event_id":"868080","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-14-and-september-20-2026","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 14–September 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:32:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.37,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7948391437530518,"normalized_volume":1.110948085784912,"liquidity":136.3942,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:52.015952Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T09:00:24.411438Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:36:57.326317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068/will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-between-september-14-and-september-20-2026","event_title":"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.44,0.435,0.415,0.44,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.235,0.255,0.26,0.14,0.13]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/868080","as_of":"2026-08-18T09:21:55.650468Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?\" — top market at 22% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}