{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/870831","as_of":"2026-10-18T16:00:04.478656Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"California Governor Election: Turnout\" — \"12.5M-13M\" leads at 36% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-18 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/870831","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout"},"source":"polymarket","id":"870831","ticker":"california-governor-election-turnout","slug":"california-governor-election-turnout","title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18920.856808,"volume_24hr":8911.887231,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.9640998840332,"normalized_volume":22.030487060546875,"liquidity":140318.03564,"open_interest":4987.995805,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100891","slug":"turnout","label":"turnout"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105875","slug":"midtermmov","label":"Midterm MOV"},{"id":"104094","slug":"governor-midterms","label":"Governor Elections"},{"id":"104045","slug":"california-midterm","label":"California Midterm"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"12.5M-13M","top_outcome_probability":0.355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.21499999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3631.49,"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:30.589421Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:30.589421Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.188892Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout","chart_24h":[480.0,460.0,460.0,798.959939,818.959939,798.959939,798.959939,878.8599389999999,878.8599389999999,878.8599389999999,878.8599389999999,878.8599389999999,878.8599389999999,878.979939,878.979939,918.979939,918.979939,858.979939,858.979939,858.979939,702.979939,622.979939,622.979939,622.979939,622.979939,5370.66021,8691.174146,8741.174146,8911.887231],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697390","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-12500000-and-13000000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?","group_item_title":"12.5M-13M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5050.385029,"volume_24hr":3631.49,"prob_24h_change":0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":3631.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.84916877746582,"normalized_volume":21.33453941345215,"liquidity":26448.4898,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-12500000-and-13000000","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.14,0.165,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.155,0.16,0.155,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.155,0.165,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.125,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697392","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-13000000-and-13500000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?","group_item_title":"13M-13.5M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3842.376101,"volume_24hr":820.619728,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":524.619728,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.995338439941406,"normalized_volume":19.988874435424805,"liquidity":27230.3654,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-13000000-and-13500000","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.28,0.27,0.265,0.255,0.255,0.225,0.315,0.315,0.26,0.255,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.21,0.2,0.215,0.2,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.28]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697389","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-12000000-and-12500000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000?","group_item_title":"12M-12.5M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":912.272634,"volume_24hr":282.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":198.07999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.734729766845703,"normalized_volume":13.634498596191406,"liquidity":12792.2142,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T14:39:14.766410Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T14:39:14.766410Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-12000000-and-12500000","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.085,0.07,0.065,0.05,0.075,0.07,0.055,0.07,0.075,0.065,0.055,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.075,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697393","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-13500000-and-14000000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000?","group_item_title":"13.5M-14M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1469.081345,"volume_24hr":307.051345,"prob_24h_change":-0.075,"volume_24h_change":227.05134500000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.1189546585083,"normalized_volume":15.605198860168457,"liquidity":12398.0658,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:22:31.874443Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:22:31.874443Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-13500000-and-14000000","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.155,0.14,0.145,0.14,0.145,0.24,0.21,0.145,0.155,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.155,0.15,0.15,0.135,0.14,0.13,0.125,0.125,0.095,0.105,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697382","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-11000000-and-11500000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000?","group_item_title":"11M-11.5M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0425,0.9575],"probability":0.0425,"spread":0.051,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1237.4636420000002,"volume_24hr":398.954762,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":398.954762,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.341652870178223,"normalized_volume":14.880126953125,"liquidity":3754.96048,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-11000000-and-11500000","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.0275,0.043,0.038,0.0365,0.0365,0.0355,0.0365,0.027,0.05,0.027,0.0395,0.0355,0.0355,0.027,0.035,0.0315,0.029,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.036,0.034,0.032,0.0235,0.029,0.027,0.037]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697381","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-10500000-and-11000000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 10,500,000 and 11,000,000?","group_item_title":"10.5M-11M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.038,0.962],"probability":0.038,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2557.187267,"volume_24hr":1782.825246,"prob_24h_change":-0.052,"volume_24h_change":1782.825246,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.392833709716797,"normalized_volume":18.06597900390625,"liquidity":14586.78151,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-10500000-and-11000000","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.09,0.1165,0.116,0.117,0.111,0.1045,0.137,0.2425,0.2655,0.2585,0.225,0.171,0.166,0.163,0.1615,0.1305,0.193,0.176,0.171,0.1685,0.166,0.1645,0.043,0.054,0.048,0.0375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697394","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-14000000-and-14500000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 14,000,000 and 14,500,000?","group_item_title":"14M-14.5M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0345,0.9655],"probability":0.0345,"spread":0.053,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":882.5050729999999,"volume_24hr":357.313073,"prob_24h_change":-0.1175,"volume_24h_change":337.313073,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.820128440856934,"normalized_volume":13.502266883850098,"liquidity":3508.78769,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-between-14000000-and-14500000","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.152,0.1475,0.1465,0.179,0.1485,0.147,0.223,0.3385,0.1855,0.2685,0.175,0.1795,0.1785,0.188,0.196,0.189,0.2455,0.221,0.117,0.1625,0.157,0.1565,0.158,0.158,0.1315,0.049,0.0545,0.0365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697395","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-14500000-or-more","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be 14,500,000 or more?","group_item_title":"14.5M+","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0345,0.9655],"probability":0.0345,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":853.16,"volume_24hr":363.05,"prob_24h_change":-0.017499999999999995,"volume_24h_change":343.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.894878387451172,"normalized_volume":13.36814022064209,"liquidity":12479.28235,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:42:31.090350Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:44.276418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-14500000-or-more","event_title":"California Governor Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.052,0.0605,0.041,0.055,0.0455,0.079,0.0795,0.0725,0.07,0.08,0.067,0.0635,0.061,0.06,0.0725,0.0775,0.0795,0.08,0.0795,0.0585,0.0795,0.0665,0.057,0.0385,0.0345,0.035,0.0345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697380","event_id":"870831","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-governor-of-california-be-less-than-10500000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be less than 10,500,000?","group_item_title":"<10.5M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. 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Invalidated or blank votes are not included. 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